Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on September 09, 2026, 12:51:38 AM
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While others are busy with mimi ni Sifuna theatrics of a heckler with online shosho media dead-on-arrival drama, Ndidi Nyoro is quietly positioning himself as the most strategic figure in Kenya’s opposition politics. His play is not about noise — it’s about timing, issues, and reading the ground mood.
Some dismiss him as a spoiler. But spoiler of what? He isn’t pro‑Ruto — he’s firmly in the opposition camp, just like Rigathi. Until April, when the real decision point arrives, Ndidi isn’t spoiling for anybody. His options are clear: back a united opposition bloc if cohesion holds, stage a rehearsal for 2032, or throw support behind Gathietha if he’s cleared and willing.
The raison d’être for Ndidi’s rise is Gathietha himself. His low emotional IQ and insufferable character have left a vacuum. Nobody likes him — not MPs, not governors, not even his own allies. His impeachment by nearly 350 MPs was no accident; it was the culmination of years of harshness and arrogance dating back to his days as a DO in the 1990s. Even when Ruto picked him, he was rejected — four votes against Kindiki’s thirty told the story.
That’s why Ndidi matters. Kikuyus want a safe, credible opposition vehicle. His timing is perfect, and Gathietha won’t have the time to engage him. The ground mood is already shifting.
In the meantime, the smart move is to commit to a joint opposition, sharpen policy critiques, and seize the issues‑based lane. Kibaki in the 1990s proved that “boring economics” can eventually win. Ruto in 2022 demonstrated that Kenya had ushered in a new era of issue-based politics to dress the ugly tribal undercurrents.
Today’s electorate is sharper — they want substance, not just slogans.
Ndidi is positioning himself as that issues‑driven voice. In 2032 he will be front runner for PORK or DPORK
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Why Sifuna 24/7? I thought he is a nobody.
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I think Ndindi Nyoro is a stooge, but whether this is true will be lost in the fierce fight ranged against him by DCP.
RiggyG has long painted Kiunjuri's TSP, Moses Kurias's CCK and now Nyoro's PPK as state projects. Nyoro was unable to answer RiggyG until recently - because RiggyG only warned of "a wheelbarrow coming up in Murang'a" - and even now Nyoro can only answer RiggyG's veiled message with "face me directly". But RiggyG will not answer him - he has delegated this to Methu, Thang'wa, Nyutu and DCP crew.
PPK cannot match DCP in resources and political muscle, and Nyoro will be forced to take on Gachagua head-on as has occurred 2 days ago. That, and Itumbi's bloggers, which will only compound his image as a puppet. The more he attacks Gachagua, the more his issue-based modesty wears out. The louder he attacks UDA and Ruto, the more he outs himself as a decoy. As he purports to be one of them, the opposition will ignore him.
It's a battle of wits.
I expect Kang'ata to join the fray when Alice Wahome joins PPK.
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We have a battle - your last statement is what matters.
Ndidi is occupying Jubilee spaces...you can call it WANTAM WHO DON'T LIKE RIGATHI.
Uhuru the mlevi has been unable to build and maintain Jubilee
There are many - Ndidi social is everday receiving 20-40 aspiransts.
RIggyG shida yake ni moja - he doesnt have interpresonal skills.
Ndiyo hiyo Kirinyanga he messed up Ngiricis for just shouting - sasa Ngirici is in Ndidi party- it appears now he has almost women issues
Ndiidi should capitalized on that.
I expected UDA folks to move to DCP.
But knowing Gathietha is not one to easily forgive.
They wull go to Ndidi party.
Anyway to be objective Of the 50 kikuyu seats; Gathietha 30; Ndidi 20.
Post Olkalau Gathietha had the game - now Ndidi is undoing it.
Ndio nasema bado game
I think Ndindi Nyoro is a stooge, but whether this is true will be lost in the fierce fight ranged against him by DCP.
RiggyG has long painted Kiunjuri's TSP, Moses Kurias's CCK and now Nyoro's PPK as state projects. Nyoro was unable to answer RiggyG until recently - because RiggyG only warned of "a wheelbarrow coming up in Murang'a" - and even now Nyoro can only answer RiggyG's veiled message with "face me directly". But RiggyG will not answer him - he has delegated this to Methu, Thang'wa, Nyutu and DCP crew.
PPK cannot match DCP in resources and political muscle, and Nyoro will be forced to take on Gachagua head-on as has occurred 2 days ago. That, and Itumbi's bloggers, which will only compound his image as a puppet. The more he attacks Gachagua, the more his issue-based modesty wears out. The louder he attacks UDA and Ruto, the more he outs himself as a decoy. As he purports to be one of them, the opposition will ignore him.
It's a battle of wits.
I expect Kang'ata to join the fray when Alice Wahome joins PPK.
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I am contrasting strategy from HEWA ya sifuna
Why Sifuna 24/7? I thought he is a nobody.
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Possible but unlikely. We'll see soon enough.
Politics is the art of the possible. [funny this is the mantra in Silicon Valley, with tech swapped for politics]
1. You are underrating RiggyG.
He has spooked your brilliant Ruto - who is now expelling poor Burundi refugees to appease hawkers. Riggy's not genetically defective- it's an act, like Sonko's buffoonery, because he's set on using Mlima to trounce Ruto. When he runs - the bile & toxin will morph into mellow sugar & honey.
2. You are overrating Ndindi Nyoro.
He's allowed 2 years of DCP monopoly. Blunder. Now there are Kang'ata and Senator Nyutu right there at his doorstep. RiggyG doesn't even have to handle him because Nyoro allowed him to mass an army.
What, objectively, has Nyoro done to warrant your praise? I mean besides the 2 weeks old PPK that has you dazzled. Just #1 CDF like PK and a few millions in KPLC stocks.
Take off the goggles.
We have a battle - your last statement is what matters.
Ndidi is occupying Jubilee spaces...you can call it WANTAM WHO DON'T LIKE RIGATHI.
Uhuru the mlevi has been unable to build and maintain Jubilee
There are many - Ndidi social is everday receiving 20-40 aspiransts.
RIggyG shida yake ni moja - he doesnt have interpresonal skills.
Ndiyo hiyo Kirinyanga he messed up Ngiricis for just shouting - sasa Ngirici is in Ndidi party- it appears now he has almost women issues
Ndiidi should capitalized on that.
I expected UDA folks to move to DCP.
But knowing Gathietha is not one to easily forgive.
They wull go to Ndidi party.
Anyway to be objective Of the 50 kikuyu seats; Gathietha 30; Ndidi 20.
Post Olkalau Gathietha had the game - now Ndidi is undoing it.
Ndio nasema bado game
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Ndii will remain relevant as long as
1) Rigathi is impeached and unsure of his run or game. Kikuyus dont like to be KYM of others even if they hate Ruto.
2) Rigathi is a deeply flawed character who is shaking money from aspirants, intimidating and badmouthing opponents.
Yes, DCP is ahead but Ndidi is not zero.
Timing is good. If he started earlier, RiggyG would have killed him with his kitchen sink politics.
Now RiggyG has too much on his plate, esp prepping for messy party nomination.
If RiggyG conducts a free and fair nomination - I'd give him 40mps; Ndidi 10mps;
If RiggyG mess up nomination ; it becomes DCP 30mps; Ndidi 20mps;
Anyway for now Kindiki and Ruto should finance Ndidi vizuri because it keep DCP busy fighting wars at home.
Possible but unlikely. We'll see soon enough.
Politics is the art of the possible. [funny this is the mantra in Silicon Valley, with tech swapped for politics]
1. You are underrating RiggyG.
He has spooked your brilliant Ruto - who is now expelling poor Burundi refugees to appease hawkers. Riggy's not genetically defective- it's an act, like Sonko's buffoonery, because he's set on using Mlima to trounce Ruto. When he runs - the bile & toxin will morph into mellow sugar & honey.
2. You are overrating Ndindi Nyoro.
He's allowed 2 years of DCP monopoly. Blunder. Now there are Kang'ata and Senator Nyutu right there at his doorstep. RiggyG doesn't even have to handle him because Nyoro allowed him to mass an army.
What, objectively, has Nyoro done to warrant your praise? I mean besides the 2 weeks old PPK that has you dazzled. Just #1 CDF like PK and a few millions in KPLC stocks.
Take off the goggles.
We have a battle - your last statement is what matters.
Ndidi is occupying Jubilee spaces...you can call it WANTAM WHO DON'T LIKE RIGATHI.
Uhuru the mlevi has been unable to build and maintain Jubilee
There are many - Ndidi social is everday receiving 20-40 aspiransts.
RIggyG shida yake ni moja - he doesnt have interpresonal skills.
Ndiyo hiyo Kirinyanga he messed up Ngiricis for just shouting - sasa Ngirici is in Ndidi party- it appears now he has almost women issues
Ndiidi should capitalized on that.
I expected UDA folks to move to DCP.
But knowing Gathietha is not one to easily forgive.
They wull go to Ndidi party.
Anyway to be objective Of the 50 kikuyu seats; Gathietha 30; Ndidi 20.
Post Olkalau Gathietha had the game - now Ndidi is undoing it.
Ndio nasema bado game
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I don't know how you get the 40-30-10 MP splits. Pure conjecture.
Even the Kibaki vs Matiba parallel is off.
Kibaki and Matiba were peers in age, profiles, achievements, etc. Nyoro is no match for Gachagua.
Nyoro will struggle to clinch 1 or 2 MPs in Murang'a.
The scenarios are different.
Nyoro might try to gaslight Murang'a by reviving the Kibaki betrayal of Matiba. But Riggy has adeptly painted him as the spoiler -- which is brutal.
Amechongewa. 👀
RiggyG's eligibility will feature but different from your expectation. It's a grievance machine - Nyoro's spoiler status will attract fury not favor.
The only real parallel - is that Ruto will get Tharaka Nithi - as Moi did in 1992, 1997. 😊
Ndii will remain relevant as long as
1) Rigathi is impeached and unsure of his run or game. Kikuyus dont like to be KYM of others even if they hate Ruto.
2) Rigathi is a deeply flawed character who is shaking money from aspirants, intimidating and badmouthing opponents.
Yes, DCP is ahead but Ndidi is not zero.
Timing is good. If he started earlier, RiggyG would have killed him with his kitchen sink politics.
Now RiggyG has too much on his plate, esp prepping for messy party nomination.
If RiggyG conducts a free and fair nomination - I'd give him 40mps; Ndidi 10mps;
If RiggyG mess up nomination ; it becomes DCP 30mps; Ndidi 20mps;
Anyway for now Kindiki and Ruto should finance Ndidi vizuri because it keep DCP busy fighting wars at home.
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2022 Rigathi, Ndidi and Kindiki were equal
It is why even after Riggy being DPORK: Ndidi refused to recognise.
Rigathi has 2yrs as DPORK
He has definitely tribalized his personal tragedy
But kikuyus and Kenyans just dont love him naturally
Ndidi has always been aware of that.
He knows RiggyG is someone people tolerate but cant love
As long as Ndidi is in opposition and has not said he will run for pork - he aint spoiler.
If he say he will accept United's opp decision - which Gathietha deceptively also claim
He plays safe.
Until April
That is when he shows his hands..back united opp or riggyg or run
I don't know how you get the 40-30-10 MP splits. Pure conjecture.
Even the Kibaki vs Matiba parallel is off.
Kibaki and Matiba were peers in age, profiles, achievements, etc. Nyoro is no match for Gachagua.
Nyoro will struggle to clinch 1 or 2 MPs in Murang'a.
The scenarios are different.
Nyoro might try to gaslight Murang'a by reviving the Kibaki betrayal of Matiba. But Riggy has adeptly painted him as the spoiler -- which is brutal.
Amechongewa. 👀
RiggyG's eligibility will feature but different from your expectation. It's a grievance machine - Nyoro's spoiler status will attract fury not favor.
The only real parallel - is that Ruto will get Tharaka Nithi - as Moi did in 1992, 1997. 😊
Ndii will remain relevant as long as
1) Rigathi is impeached and unsure of his run or game. Kikuyus dont like to be KYM of others even if they hate Ruto.
2) Rigathi is a deeply flawed character who is shaking money from aspirants, intimidating and badmouthing opponents.
Yes, DCP is ahead but Ndidi is not zero.
Timing is good. If he started earlier, RiggyG would have killed him with his kitchen sink politics.
Now RiggyG has too much on his plate, esp prepping for messy party nomination.
If RiggyG conducts a free and fair nomination - I'd give him 40mps; Ndidi 10mps;
If RiggyG mess up nomination ; it becomes DCP 30mps; Ndidi 20mps;
Anyway for now Kindiki and Ruto should finance Ndidi vizuri because it keep DCP busy fighting wars at home.
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Hesabu ni raisi - kikuyus are 50-55mps
I dont think Ndidi and Riggy can get Mps outside there.
Maybe 5-10 in diaspora communities where kikuyus are significant minority
Their parties dcp and ppleare just seen as regional parties.
Big problem Gathietha has is attracting mPs and leaders defending.
Worse case 40% of them come up
Coz they have netowrks and have worked;
So hapo even if it 50 or 60 - 20 mps will be re-elected - because they worked.
Many dont get into riggyg or ruto things - but do cdf kind of jobs
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I am asking how do you know "Riggy is not loved"? Ol Kalou just voted 86% - facing up to armed men - with loads of Ruto's cash in their pockets.
Who says RiggyG is not loved? Is there a poll of Mlima with that question?
Share some data. Hii ingine ni Itumbi dry jokes ati Gathietha.
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Some things are obvious.
Nobody loves RiggyG as president - as guy to oppose Ruto yes.
All polls show he has 2% national support, and the credible ones I saw he was doing 30% with Ruto 20% in Kikuyu land
And that is because kikuyu dont have an alternative.
Let me try get Mizani poll - they aint releasing national polls.
DCP will win majority of the seats if he conducts free and fair nomination
But already he has scared opponents away like ngirici by his open favouritism
So strong candidates will not take chances with DCP.
They would have gone Jubilee as Uhuru was alternative but Ndidi, Linda, Wiper and etc will be alternative.
I am asking how do you know "Riggy is not loved"? Ol Kalou just voted 86% - facing up to armed men - with loads of Ruto's cash in their pockets.
Who says RiggyG is not loved? Is there a poll of Mlima with that question?
Share some data. Hii ingine ni Itumbi dry jokes ati Gathietha.
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2% 😊
I myself have seen worst 4% - but mostly 7 or 9%.
The reason Riggy has low scores for PORK is because he consistently signals he will back Kalonzo/Sifuna/Matiang'i.
It's not a birth defect.
It's why I doubt Nyoro will make headway - cause Riggy backers are already invested in DCP & Kalonzo.
Riggy long tagged Nyoro as not just a spoiler but a Ruto decoy. Wheelbarrow.
There are no DCP backers waiting to switch to Nyoro in April - as you wish - cause Riggy has already managed their expectations.
I know there are polls showing Riggy vs Ruto is a tie in Mlima.
So Ruto was running there with goodies and many stories.
But the Ol Kalou shocker brought Ruto back to his senses.
Bottomline: RiggyG long posturing as kingmaker is strategic -- it's a strength not a weakness. He isn't unable to get backing - he wants it the way it is.
Some things are obvious.
Nobody loves RiggyG as president - as guy to oppose Ruto yes.
All polls show he has 2% national support, and the credible ones I saw he was doing 30% with Ruto 20% in Kikuyu land
And that is because kikuyu dont have an alternative.
Let me try get Mizani poll - they aint releasing national polls.
DCP will win majority of the seats if he conducts free and fair nomination
But already he has scared opponents away like ngirici by his open favouritism
So strong candidates will not take chances with DCP.
They would have gone Jubilee as Uhuru was alternative but Ndidi, Linda, Wiper and etc will be alternative.
I am asking how do you know "Riggy is not loved"? Ol Kalou just voted 86% - facing up to armed men - with loads of Ruto's cash in their pockets.
Who says RiggyG is not loved? Is there a poll of Mlima with that question?
Share some data. Hii ingine ni Itumbi dry jokes ati Gathietha.
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Ngirici the maverick has not joined Ndindi party. That's porojo Hitler is plastering here - misquoting what she said on JK Live.
She's not a whiny flowergirl - she will square it out with Senator Murango. She will clean the floor with him.
If Ngirici learnt anything - by going independent in 2022 - is that the party matters significantly.
She lost by a whisker - 7k votes - to Waiguru - despite her significant popularity.
She made it clear on JK Live she will fight within DCP.
Ndindi BLUNDERED BIG - by allowing Riggy to run 2 years unopposed.
Waiting until Kang'atas have joined DCP to launch.
Now PPK has 1 Kangema MP and 3 MCAs - 2 of them from Kiharu.
But there is a colorful FB page with 000's of nobodies joining PPK. 😊
DCP is a tight ship - it's almost comparable to UDA ground game 2021-22.
Obviously they will run credible primaries - you saw it in Ol Kalou.
Waiguru et al - I expect will decamp at 11th hour - and claim we have listened to the ground. Just like they did in 2022.
Even Wa Mumbi of Mathira will decamp to DCP - Riggy will not chase him - if he clinches the primaries.
You don't have to love Riggy - to concede he has a good game.
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Ngirici the maverick has not joined Ndindi party. That's porojo Hitler is plastering here - misquoting what she said on JK Live.
She's not a whiny flowergirl - she will square it out with Senator Murango. She will clean the floor with him.
If Ngirici learnt anything - by going independent in 2022 - is that the party matters significantly.
She lost by a whisker - 7k votes - to Waiguru - despite her significant popularity.
She made it clear on JK Live she will fight within DCP.
Ndindi BLUNDERED BIG - by allowing Riggy to run 2 years unopposed.
Waiting until Kang'atas have joined DCP to launch.
Now PPK has 1 Kangema MP and 3 MCAs - 2 of them from Kiharu.
But there is a colorful FB page with 000's of nobodies joining PPK. 😊
DCP is a tight ship - it's almost comparable to UDA ground game 2021-22.
Obviously they will run credible primaries - you saw it in Ol Kalou.
Waiguru et al - I expect will decamp at 11th hour - and claim we have listened to the ground. Just like they did in 2022.
Even Wa Mumbi of Mathira will decamp to DCP - Riggy will not chase him - if he clinches the primaries.
You don't have to love Riggy - to concede he has a good game.
August 24 was pivotal moment for her. After she was kicked, harassed and spat on her face directly with Riggy G blessing, she no longer wear DCP regalia in her campaigns. Check her Facebook page. I think she is just waiting the right time to decouple from DCP, but still hoping to get something from the money she paid. Riggy has endorsed Murango, so it will be a toll order for her to climb. If she doesn't go scorched earth like Waiguru, she may end up number 2 again!
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August 24 was pivotal moment for her. After she was kicked, harassed and spat on her face directly with Riggy G blessing, she no longer wear DCP regalia in her campaigns. Check her Facebook page. I think she is just waiting the right time to decouple from DCP, but still hoping to get something from the money she paid. Riggy has endorsed Murango, so it will be a toll order for her to climb. If she doesn't go scorched earth like Waiguru, she may end up number 2 again!
If she's that fickle - she might as well quit politics. It's not for the meek.
2022 she lost because she dumped Ruto claiming he favored Waiguru.
Literally she removed UDA regalia from her campaign - as you are saying now.
If she had run as independent but still backed Ruto - she might be governor today.
(https://scontent.fnbo17-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t39.99422-6/786354529_2167072767578633_3622533499754015992_n.png?stp=dst-jpg_tt6&cstp=mx1244x1557&ctp=s640x640&_nc_cat=101&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=833d8c&_nc_ohc=0NfAG9BG1u0Q7kNvwFJp0Wa&_nc_oc=AdqkMasJEYJmjf61QRXnP5ZwfTKIO7qDSpI_vJpL2T4dE-1rbbysXi0fdsTFzKoHgU0&_nc_zt=14&_nc_ht=scontent.fnbo17-1.fna&_nc_gid=-C3yKlbl6hoP8DK3v08mew&_nc_ss=7b2a8&oh=00_AQJGLHqCV1Q5N2lNBEuT4kr0lgq8fWFRS2CaS1inFspdLQ&oe=6AA93527)
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Sifuna loses Orengo and Babu
He is now a Bukusu leader to join Natembeya party
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Sifuna loses Orengo and Babu
He is now a Bukusu leader to join Natembeya party
Online, kikuyus bloggers, dcps and stupid media personalities are still propping him up, hoping to dampen Ruto's ever shinning nyota. There is no shortcut in politics. You have to have trillions, spend it on people, build churches, schools, fund kids in college, families, and do everything possible to lift as many people as possible in every village. For 30+ years, Ruto has projects everywhere in Kenya, Wether Rendiles in Laisamis, Kikuyus in Mukurweini, Kalenjin in Mindililwet, Kisiis in Nyasumi village, or Luos in Rodi Kopany etc can see something Ruto build in their local place. It could be a church, school, road, or market, fundraising for a cause etc. Sifuna outside, okuyu propping has nothing to show.
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Exactly. Ndidi seem to get it. Start small and have long term plan
Online, kikuyus bloggers, dcps and stupid media personalities are still propping him up, hoping to dampen Ruto's ever shinning nyota. There is no shortcut in politics. You have to have trillions, spend it on people, build churches, schools, fund kids in college, families, and do everything possible to lift as many people as possible in every village. For 30+ years, Ruto has projects everywhere in Kenya, Wether Rendiles in Laisamis, Kikuyus in Mukurweini, Kalenjin in Mindililwet, Kisiis in Nyasumi village, or Luos in Rodi Kopany etc can see something Ruto build in their local place. It could be a church, school, road, or market, fundraising for a cause etc. Sifuna outside, okuyu propping has nothing to show.
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Exactly. Ndidi seem to get it. Start small and have long term plan
Online, kikuyus bloggers, dcps and stupid media personalities are still propping him up, hoping to dampen Ruto's ever shinning nyota. There is no shortcut in politics. You have to have trillions, spend it on people, build churches, schools, fund kids in college, families, and do everything possible to lift as many people as possible in every village. For 30+ years, Ruto has projects everywhere in Kenya, Wether Rendiles in Laisamis, Kikuyus in Mukurweini, Kalenjin in Mindililwet, Kisiis in Nyasumi village, or Luos in Rodi Kopany etc can see something Ruto build in their local place. It could be a church, school, road, or market, fundraising for a cause etc. Sifuna outside, okuyu propping has nothing to show.
Ruto to address huge Hama Bay Rally in 60 years shortly. A journey that started in 1993 at a tiny village in Homa Bay village. Ruto has done over 20 fundraising efforts in Homa Bay in the last 20 years
https://www.facebook.com/williamsamoei/videos/1433174775401595
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Sioni. Nyoro superloud on Facebook and X is just ex-CDF rockstar PK. Please attempt to show us the difference.
RiggyG remains the only opposition figure able to say "I am ready to back Kalonzo or Sifuna - without immediate trouble in the base. Ruto's regional kingpins are all selling DPORK - Soprano, Oparanya, Joho, Mbadi. They will all run for PORK in 2032 with Ruto's full backing.
I see a joke in there somewhere.
Nyoro needs to show us something - like a few more MPs and MCAs from Murang'a signing up to PPK.
1 MP and 3 MCAs - and a million likes on FB - is not traction.
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Luhya will shock you like Ol Kalou.
Luhya like Luo have never been PORK - and worse are derisively called the flowergirls of Kenyan politics - a real shot at PORK will swing against the colorless Madvd and Oparanyas. Those are seen as failures by voters. That's the burden Ruto faces - BIG chip on the Mulembe shoulder - not just sugar factories or jobs. After giving them hollow PM now they want DPORK - they are not defending PM 👀👀 - they see Madvd as shameful.
Luhya were with Raila and Ruto for lack of a better choice. Not for love.
If Sifuna commits - whether he eventually gets PORK or deputy with serious MOU - like Ruto 2013 - he will sweep Luhya.
I don't see a mere party name or logo stopping him.
Orengo and Babu of course have nowhere to go - it's worse option to join Ruto - they need Linda to get or remain as governor.
Their problem is strategic discordance - they know Oburu is almost comatose - and want to position as next Luo king.
Babu has the age advantage at 36 - Orengo is 75 - but I see their fates as tied to 2027 outcome.
If Ruto wins- likely Mbadi becomes new Luo king. Ruto loses- ground turns to Babu.
Orengo might easily lose governor and won't have a leg to stand on.
Very likely - RiggyG is watching very keenly - and will seduce Babu with free ticket in Nairobi - to remain in Linda and deliver Luo youth.
Gakuya will throw a fit but will be given senator.
Sifuna loses Orengo and Babu
He is now a Bukusu leader to join Natembeya party
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Sifuna is going nowhere.
Luhya will shock you like Ol Kalou.
Luhya like Luo have never been PORK - and worse are derisively called the flowergirls of Kenyan politics - a real shot at PORK will swing against the colorless Madvd and Oparanyas. Those are seen as failures by voters. That's the burden Ruto faces - BIG chip on the Mulembe shoulder - not just sugar factories or jobs. After giving them hollow PM now they want DPORK - they are not defending PM 👀👀 - they see Madvd as shameful.
Luhya were with Raila and Ruto for lack of a better choice. Not for love.
If Sifuna commits - whether he eventually gets PORK or deputy with serious MOU - like Ruto 2013 - he will sweep Luhya.
I don't see a mere party name or logo stopping him.
Orengo and Babu of course have nowhere to go - it's worse option to join Ruto - they need Linda to get or remain as governor.
Their problem is strategic discordance - they know Oburu is almost comatose - and want to position as next Luo king.
Babu has the age advantage at 36 - Orengo is 75 - but I see their fates as tied to 2027 outcome.
If Ruto wins- likely Mbadi becomes new Luo king. Ruto loses- ground turns to Babu.
Orengo might easily lose governor and won't have a leg to stand on.
Very likely - RiggyG is watching very keenly - and will seduce Babu with free ticket in Nairobi - to remain in Linda and deliver Luo youth.
Gakuya will throw a fit but will be given senator.
Sifuna loses Orengo and Babu
He is now a Bukusu leader to join Natembeya party
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Ndidi say he will run loose or win.
https://x.com/a_m_media_ke/status/2100908597911720215
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Mizani say Ndidi has 45% of murang and Gathietha 20%
Ndidi coming along
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actually Nyoro 46 vs 37% RiggyG.
Odd poll - Nyoro launched PPK on August 19 (a month ago) - declared running for PORK a day later. That's a dazzling speed of a poll that typically takes months. Mizani labels this as "Murang’a September Survey." 🤷♀️
https://www.facebook.com/mizaniafrica/posts/muranga-weighs-its-mt-kenya-opposition-choiceour-latest-poll-places-ndindi-nyoro/1623853879533332/
Remind me again why you highly trust Mizani?
Mizani say Ndidi has 45% of murang and Gathietha 20%
Ndidi coming along
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Brilliant rebuttal
Sifuna is going nowhere.
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I see you are mute.
Instant polls capture momentary media blitz and are in fact psyops.
Let's see how many MCAs buy into this voodoo Nyoro numbers.
actually Nyoro 46 vs 37% RiggyG.
Odd poll - Nyoro launched PPK on August 19 (a month ago) - declared running for PORK a day later. That's a dazzling speed of a poll that typically takes months. Mizani labels this as "Murang’a September Survey." 🤷♀️
https://www.facebook.com/mizaniafrica/posts/muranga-weighs-its-mt-kenya-opposition-choiceour-latest-poll-places-ndindi-nyoro/1623853879533332/
Remind me again why you highly rate Mizani?
Mizani say Ndidi has 45% of murang and Gathietha 20%
Ndidi coming along
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Gachagua wades into Sifuna-Babu tensions, urges unity in Linda Mwananchi
19 September 2026 - 17:05
https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2026-09-19-gachagua-warns-against-division-in-linda-mwananchi
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Gatheitha going down outside usual Nyeri circles
I can see the future
And you cant
Ndidi has UHURU
And that is a BIG DEAL
esp now in Kiambu/Nakuru/Muranga who are uncomfortable supporting a skunk
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How many votes did Uhuru get in Ol Kalou - which is literally a Kiambu extension.
RiggyG stood up to President Uhuru - atashindwaje sasa?
Gatheitha going down outside usual Nyeri circles
I can see the future
And you cant
Ndidi has UHURU
And that is a BIG DEAL
esp now in Kiambu/Nakuru/Muranga who are uncomfortable supporting a skunk
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Uhuru on his own is nothing
Kikuyu biggest beef with him is failing to endorse and plan kikuyu succession
Kulete Sifuna or matiangi haiwezi
RiggyG kikuyus knows is fatally wounded by Ruto
So Ndidi looking good
How many votes did Uhuru get in Ol Kalou - which is literally a Kiambu extension.
RiggyG stood up to President Uhuru - atashindwaje sasa?
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Tim Wanyonyi return to ODM to via in Bungoma.
Sifuna wave is dying faster than it started
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By "kikuyus" you must mean Ichung'wa and Ndii - Ruto's court jesters.
UhuRuto had way worse baggage in 2012 - and still cleaned the floor - sembuse a mere impeachment?
Mlima has embraced DCP - and indicators show they are okay if he backs Kalonzo or Sifuna to unseat Ruto the mortal enemy.
That's why Nyoro's kizungu mingi - about Safcon shares sijui debt level - "macroeconomics" - is a struggle even in Kiharu.
Riggy will run until April - majestically appear at IEBC with papers - then storm out to accuse Ethekon and Ruto of blocking him. 😊
Or some redux of that - maybe in court.
Ruto must bear the cross 😊 - the way he used to accuse Raila of evicting Kalenjin from Mau, etc.
DCP will fagia the ground - governors, MPs - hapo juu Kalonzo, Sifuna, etc.
No inch will be conceded to your blue eyed boy Ndindi.
Uhuru on his own is nothing
Kikuyu biggest beef with him is failing to endorse and plan kikuyu succession
Kulete Sifuna or matiangi haiwezi
RiggyG kikuyus knows is fatally wounded by Ruto
So Ndidi looking good
How many votes did Uhuru get in Ol Kalou - which is literally a Kiambu extension.
RiggyG stood up to President Uhuru - atashindwaje sasa?
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I'll believe it when Tim Wanyonyi speaks - not Waluke. Or authentic Linda like Majimbo Kalasinga.
There are many candidates gunning for the Linda ticket in Bungoma.
I actually expect Wanyonyi can easily be kicked in primaries by Cliff Wangamati. Ex-governor.
Tim Wanyonyi return to ODM to via in Bungoma.
Sifuna wave is dying faster than it started
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https://www.facebook.com/reel/969175376230824
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Tim Wanyonyi return to ODM to via in Bungoma.
Sifuna wave is dying faster than it started
How now when The Tribunal has okay Linda Mwananchi for Sifuna?
Kenyans everywhere doing the right thing. Yesterday is a day your Jesus will want to forget. How can one suffer so much political hemorrhage in one single day??
1. Linda Mwananchi name reserved just as Sifuna is set to announce his party in the next 7 days. Why would Tim bolt now?
2. Museveni scoffs at Lamu Refinery in front of your Jesus and Dangote and asks what was all that Tanga nonsense about uttered by your jesus not long ago. M7 says he is consulting Suluhu and building his own refinery.
3. WeakKneed Chivoyo, money laundered for your Jesus and other African heads, dead same day just months to Kenya elections
Matters Bukusu are now beyond you. I already told you this time next year you will be drinking musik under your bed. Better believe that na ujipange.
https://x.com/Kemboi67/status/2105312146380763328
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Kumbe Kumbe yaani uko pungoma you're seeing Sifuna as president or even deputy :)
Ruto just pulled out 20B investment and you're telling us stories.
Linda Mwananchi cant make the 15th october -deadline - assuming they dont get dragged to court by the other party.
And we kalenjin unlike kumbe kumbe dont celebrate people death
Tim Wanyonyi return to ODM to via in Bungoma.
Sifuna wave is dying faster than it started
How now when The Tribunal has okay Linda Mwananchi for Sifuna?
Kenyans everywhere doing the right thing. Yesterday is a day your Jesus will want to forget. How can one suffer so much political hemorrhage in one single day??
1. Linda Mwananchi name reserved just as Sifuna is set to announce his party in the next 7 days. Why would Tim bolt now?
2. Museveni scoffs at Lamu Refinery in front of your Jesus and Dangote and asks what was all that Tanga nonsense about uttered by your jesus not long ago. M7 says he is consulting Suluhu and building his own refinery.
3. WeakKneed Chivoyo, money laundered for your Jesus and other African heads, dead same day just months to Kenya elections
Matters Bukusu are now beyond you. I already told you this time next year you will be drinking musik under your bed. Better believe that na ujipange.
https://x.com/Kemboi67/status/2105312146380763328
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Ati Sifuna has launched Chama Tano, sixth Loading!
https://www.facebook.com/reel/2854683028247355
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If Sifuna is a nobody, why mention his name 24/7? Hapa hiko kitu. See the exchange between Sifuna and the Kale Senators in the Senate. The Kales have panicked as they can see there source of loot evaporating in August 2027.
Ati Sifuna has launched Chama Tano, sixth Loading!
https://www.facebook.com/reel/2854683028247355
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If Sifuna is a nobody, why mention his name 24/7? Hapa hiko kitu. See the exchange between Sifuna and the Kale Senators in the Senate. The Kales have panicked as they can see there source of loot evaporating in August 2027.
Ati Sifuna has launched Chama Tano, sixth Loading!
https://www.facebook.com/reel/2854683028247355
Sifuna has chronic alcohol problem according to Caleb Amisi, his close friend. In fact, some of his other friends said he outshines Uhuru in that drinking business. Don't bank anything on anyone with drinking problem, not matter how he seems stable. It is a matter of time before he withers to oblivion. Kenya and Africa needs Sober William Samoei Ruto, the man that drinks Ketepa tea, soda on weekends, and Milk after home cooked meals.
(https://scontent-atl3-2.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.99422-6/843023763_1117253427928110_3646921800193235143_n.png?stp=dst-jpg_tt6&cstp=mx737x745&ctp=s737x745&_nc_cat=104&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=833d8c&_nc_ohc=PWvO7YckPQEQ7kNvwGcn9Rt&_nc_oc=Adom8tb5Qu0jHFObrBXymTo0Bld8mLy0Aj5cMyCJKIRVBdB9hIwBuzkbfFmfqrnzNEyKzjn1g5GH9569oisEZOei&_nc_zt=14&_nc_ht=scontent-atl3-2.xx&_nc_gid=uKSZJNWAWmcMNp6HKjDu9A&_nc_ss=7b2a8&oh=00_AQMpzJz_R6bYyebzcotOe6-1dMLSksRBAdiQBXdcAaLNwg&oe=6AD2E5DA)
(https://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.99422-6/843697556_2313316009422585_3265400206260138575_n.png?stp=dst-jpg_tt6&cstp=mx720x855&ctp=s720x855&_nc_cat=109&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=833d8c&_nc_ohc=-Y7eMkLHa8UQ7kNvwHLfuZT&_nc_oc=AdrS5RdZg5bNDTCHWy3FpLntyinIdO4Izrm3kwoKtRchi0w8alCJ8yH8KHTK3inpdn0jRvjbjQYDpbRZqwU-vC4J&_nc_zt=14&_nc_ht=scontent-atl3-1.xx&_nc_gid=l4ZCaueqPOEITc0vmj5iFQ&_nc_ss=7b2a8&oh=00_AQNbpqshGWcp2Uex64ndxMFUdmdaHZZV5qf3WjrXs4dfpQ&oe=6AD2CB25)
(https://scontent-atl3-2.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/843666826_971150362718467_2643262466918792697_n.jpg?stp=dst-jpg_tt6&cstp=mx1043x1236&ctp=s1043x1236&_nc_cat=104&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=833d8c&_nc_ohc=Kr75LbGxJ-QQ7kNvwEjZi4X&_nc_oc=AdqlE7OSyyMznrvFPnndlxGoS8bUHpp8Jt3S7QVJ5wpqU-_c3oxjLYY0g7qJQ9i2lPAQ5Qm6689idEshPPCoJUc_&_nc_zt=23&_nc_ht=scontent-atl3-2.xx&_nc_gid=QnLK69mhQIgl4_ep0ahWuw&_nc_ss=7b2a8&oh=00_AQOz6PB6_n2c7nHenTzy2qsKCduaTv5HTNm458-SY9f9Dw&oe=6AD2BBE6)
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Bwana RV Hitler, clutch at staws.
Drinking pombe is not a a crime in Kenya. Also note, Sifuna is by faith a Catholic. Catholics do not abore alcohol like your jihadist Christian brother residing currently at SH. That is why there are photos of Pope Leo enjoying his drink. It is surprising that a mlevi like Sifuna talks more sense than a teetoler like Ruto. Ruto should be ashamed. Maybe your guy should reconsider going to a pub for a drink. He might get to learn not to steal public funds from the walevi there.
Sifuna has chronic alcohol problem according to Caleb Amisi, his close friend. In fact, some of his other friends said he outshines Uhuru in that drinking business. Don't bank anything on anyone with drinking problem, not matter how he seems stable. It is a matter of time before he withers to oblivion. Kenya and Africa needs Sober William Samoei Ruto, the man that drinks Ketepa tea, soda on weekends, and Milk after home cooked meals.
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Bwana RV Hitler, clutch at staws.
Drinking pombe is not a a crime in Kenya. Also note, Sifuna is by faith a Catholic. Catholics do not abore alcohol like your jihadist Christian brother residing currently at SH. That is why there are photos of Pope Leo enjoying his drink. It is surprising that a mlevi like Sifuna talks more sense than a teetoler like Ruto. Ruto should be ashamed. Maybe your guy should reconsider going to a pub for a drink. He might get to learn not to steal public funds from the walevi there.
Sifuna has chronic alcohol problem according to Caleb Amisi, his close friend. In fact, some of his other friends said he outshines Uhuru in that drinking business. Don't bank anything on anyone with drinking problem, not matter how he seems stable. It is a matter of time before he withers to oblivion. Kenya and Africa needs Sober William Samoei Ruto, the man that drinks Ketepa tea, soda on weekends, and Milk after home cooked meals.
Alcoholic leaders often maintain a high-functioning facade for a time, but chronic alcohol use progressively erodes cognitive performance, decision-making, and physical health, frequently leading to career derailment, interpersonal conflict, and organizational failure
That is from a peer-reviewed source
Maybe he will be the first alcoholic leader in the universe to outperform trajectory of his peers. Why do you think Kenya is suffering? It is 10 years of Uhuru's alcoholic-driven governing. Ruto's 4 years have given us 32 stadia including Talanta, over 3000 of new tarmac, 700+ markets, 120K teachers hired, coffee, tea, milk, sugar prices tripled, NSSF from 300 billion to 960 billion, FDI from 1.6B to 3.5 billion, and the list is endless. Do you think if Ruto was alcoholic, Kenya would have achieved that. Ruto also has zero corruption scandals except internet lies peddled by cartel losing money. Ruto has hired extra 1 million plus youth through construction alone. That is the power of sobriety
https://www.facebook.com/reel/2118394972096135
Ruto manifesto is amlost 91% complete and there is 10 months to go, he will likely deliver over 100% and the main credit is sobriety that comes with focus. Alcoholic people cannot stick to their plan even for a day!
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https://www.facebook.com/reel/1759046595194189
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So you have reduced Kenya's leadership to soberness. Let me remind you one mlevi Mwai Kibaki did more for Kenya in 10 years than the sober Toroitich arap Moi in 24 years.
Wacha utoto and look for other grounds to disqualify Edwin Sifuna from the presidency.
Btw, I like it that you and your village mate Punda, are discussing Sifuna 24/7. If he is a nobody, why this? I have heard no mention of Kaloi Musyoka from your side for ages. Hapa iko kitu!
Alcoholic leaders often maintain a high-functioning facade for a time, but chronic alcohol use progressively erodes cognitive performance, decision-making, and physical health, frequently leading to career derailment, interpersonal conflict, and organizational failure
That is from a peer-reviewed source
Maybe he will be the first alcoholic leader in the universe to outperform trajectory of his peers. Why do you think Kenya is suffering? It is 10 years of Uhuru's alcoholic-driven governing. Ruto's 4 years have given us 32 stadia including Talanta, over 3000 of new tarmac, 700+ markets, 120K teachers hired, coffee, tea, milk, sugar prices tripled, NSSF from 300 billion to 960 billion, FDI from 1.6B to 3.5 billion, and the list is endless. Do you think if Ruto was alcoholic, Kenya would have achieved that. Ruto also has zero corruption scandals except internet lies peddled by cartel losing money. Ruto has hired extra 1 million plus youth through construction alone. That is the power of sobriety
[/quote]
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So you have reduced Kenya's leadership to soberness. Let me remind you one mlevi Mwai Kibaki did more for Kenya in 10 years than the sober Toroitich arap Moi in 24 years.
Wacha utoto and look for other grounds to disqualify Edwin Sifuna from the presidency.
Btw, I like it that you and your village mate Punda, are discussing Sifuna 24/7. If he is a nobody, why this? I have heard no mention of Kaloi Musyoka from your side for ages. Hapa iko kitu!
Alcoholic leaders often maintain a high-functioning facade for a time, but chronic alcohol use progressively erodes cognitive performance, decision-making, and physical health, frequently leading to career derailment, interpersonal conflict, and organizational failure
That is from a peer-reviewed source
Maybe he will be the first alcoholic leader in the universe to outperform trajectory of his peers. Why do you think Kenya is suffering? It is 10 years of Uhuru's alcoholic-driven governing. Ruto's 4 years have given us 32 stadia including Talanta, over 3000 of new tarmac, 700+ markets, 120K teachers hired, coffee, tea, milk, sugar prices tripled, NSSF from 300 billion to 960 billion, FDI from 1.6B to 3.5 billion, and the list is endless. Do you think if Ruto was alcoholic, Kenya would have achieved that. Ruto also has zero corruption scandals except internet lies peddled by cartel losing money. Ruto has hired extra 1 million plus youth through construction alone. That is the power of sobriety
You are believing lies peddled by Mt Kenya TV. Kibaki was the worst president in Kenya. There are thousands of Kenyans with no limps, hands, ears, and so much because of the mayhem he caused. Over 700,000 okuyus evicted and 6K killed all over Kenya and suffered greatly as disharmony of tribalism planted in Kenya. Watch news of 2007-2008 and you will conclude Kibaki was a pure demon! Alcohol, to some extent could have played a role in desensitizing his Brain on human suffering caused by his actions. A sober person would not steal elections and watch almost a million of his people butchered to death and continue clinging to power. Sobriety constantly alerts the brain and brings situation awareness to an individual!
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Now you are putting words in my mouth. I am on record here for mentioning Kibaki's rigging of 2007 elections as the worst thing that ever happened. Without this theft we would have not had Uhuru and now Ruto as presidents. The two are a direct results of Kibaki's political failures.
Let us go back to the main discussion here that soberness is the key to a good presidency.
You are believing lies peddled by Mt Kenya TV. Kibaki was the worst president in Kenya. There are thousands of Kenyans with no limps, hands, ears, and so much because of the mayhem he caused. Over 700,000 okuyus evicted and 6K killed all over Kenya and suffered greatly as disharmony of tribalism planted in Kenya. Watch news of 2007-2008 and you will conclude Kibaki was a pure demon! Alcohol, to some extent could have played a role in desensitizing his Brain on human suffering caused by his actions. A sober person would not steal elections and watch almost a million of his people butchered to death and continue clinging to power. Sobriety constantly alerts the brain and brings situation awareness to an individual!
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Tim Wanyonyi return to ODM to via in Bungoma.
Sifuna wave is dying faster than it started
If you still think Nyoro PPK - the real moto ya gazeti - is going anywhere. He lost even the 1 Kangema MP.
NO SINGLE MP BACKS NYORO. 👀👀👀👀
Wanyonyi has not said a whiff about party - but expected to be Linda-allied. Rejected Ford-K free ticket.
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Murima is totally confusing right now because Gathietha has gone off the grid. I dont know his game plan. We have Uhuru, we have ndidi and we have kindiki.
For now the only update I can make is that Ruto is losing many Luhyas but gaining in Gusii where Arati is softening the ground.
Ukambani is in middle of nowhere.
We will have to wait until April to really know hows this plays out
If you still think Nyoro PPK - the real moto ya gazeti - is going anywhere. He lost even the 1 Kangema MP.
NO SINGLE MP BACKS NYORO. 👀👀👀👀
Wanyonyi has not said a whiff about party - but expected to be Linda-allied. Rejected Ford-K free ticket.
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Too whom is he losing too? :D :D :D
May take is he is not losing, he has lost them already. Same like Mt Kenya.
Murima is totally confusing right now because Gathietha has gone off the grid. I dont know his game plan. We have Uhuru, we have ndidi and we have kindiki.
For now the only update I can make is that Ruto is losing many Luhyas but gaining in Gusii where Arati is softening the ground.
Ukambani is in middle of nowhere.
We will have to wait until April to really know hows this plays out
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😊😊
Even in Gusii Ruto has noone serious. Simba and Osoro are chihuahuas.
Unless opposition mishandles Matiang'i - which they know better.
Too whom is he losing too? :D :D :D
May take is he is not losing, he has lost them already. Same like Mt Kenya.
Murima is totally confusing right now because Gathietha has gone off the grid. I dont know his game plan. We have Uhuru, we have ndidi and we have kindiki.
For now the only update I can make is that Ruto is losing many Luhyas but gaining in Gusii where Arati is softening the ground.
Ukambani is in middle of nowhere.
We will have to wait until April to really know hows this plays out
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Matiangi is paper thin.
I think Ruto nailing Simba is big deal
He joins Osoros and other UDA whom based on ground info are very solid.
They have Ndidi-Ichungwa we have delivered roads/schools.
So for now I'd say Matiangi aende asiende - Gusii is 50-50 for now.
Matiangi siasa nayo nikama imemelema
😊😊
Even in Gusii Ruto has noone serious. Simba and Osoro are chihuahuas.
Unless opposition mishandles Matiang'i - which they know better.
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That's what I mean by mishandling Matiang'i. He is a lazy, fat cerelac baby. He needs to be nose-led to deliver Gusii. Kalonzo at least is stuck firmly at 10% Kamba basket.
If they name him as Opposition spokesman - and fire useless Orengo 😊 - he can run around with a pompous suit and bloated ego.
Basically without Matiang'i Opposition has no game in Gusii. I see Onyonka and Kibagendi - but they are in Linda not Jubilee.
Matiangi is paper thin.
I think Ruto nailing Simba is big deal
He joins Osoros and other UDA whom based on ground info are very solid.
They have Ndidi-Ichungwa we have delivered roads/schools.
So for now I'd say Matiangi aende asiende - Gusii is 50-50 for now.
Matiangi siasa nayo nikama imemelema
😊😊
Even in Gusii Ruto has noone serious. Simba and Osoro are chihuahuas.
Unless opposition mishandles Matiang'i - which they know better.
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Gusii knows Matiangi murima wave is over. They are now in buyer remorse and most likely to back Ruto - if their ego is not handled correctly.
Matiangi I think is so emboldned to Uhuru - he will like do what Kenyattas want him to do. So far he is camp B - of Ndidi/Martha and himself - alternative to DCP thuggery.
Poor Kaloi has been left to Wamalwa and Justin Muturi - infact last press conference he was alone.
I think oppositions are all talking to Ruto and each is suspicious of the other.
That's what I mean by mishandling Matiang'i. He is a lazy, fat cerelac baby. He needs to be nose-led to deliver Gusii. Kalonzo at least is stuck firmly at 10% Kamba basket.
If they name him as Opposition spokesman - and fire useless Orengo 😊 - he can run around with a pompous suit and bloated ego.
Basically without Matiang'i Opposition has no game in Gusii. I see Onyonka and Kibagendi - but they are in Linda not Jubilee.
Matiangi is paper thin.
I think Ruto nailing Simba is big deal
He joins Osoros and other UDA whom based on ground info are very solid.
They have Ndidi-Ichungwa we have delivered roads/schools.
So for now I'd say Matiangi aende asiende - Gusii is 50-50 for now.
Matiangi siasa nayo nikama imemelema
😊😊
Even in Gusii Ruto has noone serious. Simba and Osoro are chihuahuas.
Unless opposition mishandles Matiang'i - which they know better.
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DCP will fagia all those useles Jubilee, PNU, DP, etc. From how they are running circles around Ndindi, and useless Munyas.
I see that as RiggyG's red line. Before going for any united opposition candidate. Akin to Ruto URP in 2013.
I think you are wrong to think DCP or even Linda are passing clouds - they are not. They will sweep Mlima and Mulembe.
Hapo juu I still see it as Kalonzo-Sifuna - cause duhh - Riggy is barred. Riggy as the brain will find a way to accomodate fat Matiang'i. Which is easy because Broad-Based Gusii is full-house. The problem Ruto has in Gusii - is the literal carte blanche for Matiang'i. If opposition pretend to have a sort of primaries - using Mizani 😊 - they can line him as the powerful interior under Uhuru.
You are right we have to watch Uhuru's game.
Gusii knows Matiangi murima wave is over. They are now in buyer remorse and most likely to back Ruto - if their ego is not handled correctly.
Matiangi I think is so emboldned to Uhuru - he will like do what Kenyattas want him to do. So far he is camp B - of Ndidi/Martha and himself - alternative to DCP thuggery.
Poor Kaloi has been left to Wamalwa and Justin Muturi - infact last press conference he was alone.
I think oppositions are all talking to Ruto and each is suspicious of the other.
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Well I guess we will wait till April but so far.
1) Kalonzo is alone with Ukombozi/Azimio alliance.
2) Uhuru led Matiangi/Ndidi/Martha doing their thing.
3) Sifuna (big mistake in building his brand) has allied with Gathietha (who gives you kikuyu but substract everyone else).
Ruto camp
1) ODM are intact - though not seeing Oparanya
2) Luhya nation is one in big danger of Sifuna wave
3) Kindiki seem abandoned - Ruto either has given up on him or is trying new way.
My predictions based on what I am seeing
1) Ruto-Kalonzo backed by ODM. I see Kalonzo failing by the wayside
2) I cant tell Uhuru gameplan. I still cant understand who appointed Lee, Kabogo & Nyeri mutahi
3) Gathietha is going to buy time until COA & SCORK deliver a verdict. If allowed to run - he will 100% run. If not he will back Sifuna-Methu
4) Ndidi will run. Or go with Matiangi-Ndidi. Or whetever Uhuru things. But Ndidi will run - not win but for 2032. He will hope Gathietha doesnt run nor methu -
DCP will fagia all those useles Jubilee, PNU, DP, etc. From how they are running circles around Ndindi, and useless Munyas.
I see that as RiggyG's red line. Before going for any united opposition candidate. Akin to Ruto URP in 2013.
I think you are wrong to think DCP or even Linda are passing clouds - they are not. They will sweep Mlima and Mulembe.
Hapo juu I still see it as Kalonzo-Sifuna - cause duhh - Riggy is barred. Riggy as the brain will find a way to accomodate fat Matiang'i. Which is easy because Broad-Based Gusii is full-house. The problem Ruto has in Gusii - is the literal carte blanche for Matiang'i. If opposition pretend to have a sort of primaries - using Mizani 😊 - they can line him as the powerful interior under Uhuru.
You are right we have to watch Uhuru's game.
Gusii knows Matiangi murima wave is over. They are now in buyer remorse and most likely to back Ruto - if their ego is not handled correctly.
Matiangi I think is so emboldned to Uhuru - he will like do what Kenyattas want him to do. So far he is camp B - of Ndidi/Martha and himself - alternative to DCP thuggery.
Poor Kaloi has been left to Wamalwa and Justin Muturi - infact last press conference he was alone.
I think oppositions are all talking to Ruto and each is suspicious of the other.