Luhya will shock you like Ol Kalou.
Luhya like Luo have never been PORK - and worse are derisively called the flowergirls of Kenyan politics - a real shot at PORK will swing against the colorless Madvd and Oparanyas. Those are seen as failures by voters. That's the burden Ruto faces - BIG chip on the Mulembe shoulder - not just sugar factories or jobs. After giving them hollow PM now they want DPORK - they are not defending PM 👀👀 - they see Madvd as shameful.
Luhya were with Raila and Ruto for lack of a better choice. Not for love.
If Sifuna commits - whether he eventually gets PORK or deputy with serious MOU - like Ruto 2013 - he will sweep Luhya.
I don't see a mere party name or logo stopping him.
Orengo and Babu of course have nowhere to go - it's worse option to join Ruto - they need Linda to get or remain as governor.
Their problem is strategic discordance - they know Oburu is almost comatose - and want to position as next Luo king.
Babu has the age advantage at 36 - Orengo is 75 - but I see their fates as tied to 2027 outcome.
If Ruto wins- likely Mbadi becomes new Luo king. Ruto loses- ground turns to Babu.
Orengo might easily lose governor and won't have a leg to stand on.
Very likely - RiggyG is watching very keenly - and will seduce Babu with free ticket in Nairobi - to remain in Linda and deliver Luo youth.
Gakuya will throw a fit but will be given senator.
Sifuna loses Orengo and Babu
He is now a Bukusu leader to join Natembeya party
