This is not the reason. Why would Ruto want this nightmare scenario?
RV Pundit has been telling us about Wiper-DCP merger and I didn't believe him, but it makes sense now.
Kalonzo 27% is Kamba + Mlima. You can see RiggyG has only 4% in the poll.
I have been telling Pundit RiggyG isn't incapable of love - he just chooses to canvass for Kalonzo strategically.
This means Ruto's spanner boy Nyoro cannot wait for April - when the opposition picks Kalonzo-Sifuna - to inherit RiggyG's vote. Hata hio 3% yake akijoin Ruto hapati.
Ruto has fewer moves left than opposition:-
-If he picks the Dwarf - he loses the few Luhya left and some Luo.
-He picks Madvd or Oparanya - he loses Dwarf's Tharaka 2% and most Luo - and still gets floored badly by Sifuna.
-He picks Mbadi - loses Luhya and Tharaka.
RV Pundit and the Ruto choir have accepted Mlima is gone. They took time to come around on MKE - after insisting for 2 years that the big river would join the tributary.
They will soon accept Luhya is gone-gone - as soon as Sifuna's party is launched and people stampede there. All those useless Waluke, Salasya, Wanyonyi - they can see the writing on the wall. Caleb Amisi and his Otonglo party are bad jokes. Even Babu Owino is likely to see the light - and fold his Mwananchi tissue paper - unless he is a FOOL - to split the vote and lose to Sakaja or Gakuya. Likely Sakaja runs with Kasarani MP Rony Karauri the moneybag. Babu-Gakuya can crash them.
Kalonzo's Ukombozi Alliance...
I see 2 possibilities -
i. It has Uhuru+RiggyG's blessing - very likely - as it already roped in Orengo and his Himalayan ego 🙂 - the jaduong seems very amused to inherit Uhuru's seat as chairman.
In this case the only people left are Babu Owino and Sifuna. Nyoro seems as excited as Orengo to hang around Uhuru - while obviously Matiang'i is still Uhuru's puppet. Pundit says Sifuna is a baby - but this Nyoro fellow is the real baby attempting a sprint before crawling. If Nyoro runs PPK will have 0.1% like Orengo SDP in 2002.
ii. It's just desperate Kaloi's thing - unlikely but possible. Kalonzo lacks financial-political muscle to run such an outfit. And being married to DCP means Wiper can't make big moves without consulting RiggyG.
It's idiotic to have 2022 Azimio-style ticket for joint PORK. UDA 2022 model is better. Or TNA 2013. Where PORK-DPORK ticket is say Wiper - but the rest of the downstream ballots are zoned. Wiper with 30 MPs can't bully anyone after compromising manys seats - like Nairobi governor, senator - for DCP and Linda.
I expect Sifuna and his Natembeyas to hit the Mulembe ground hard. They must deliver Luhya yote + ODM 70% - to match Kalonzo-RiggyG.
This is more likely to be the aim & affect of the poll. They launch Linda Asili next week.
Of course. So as to cause havoc in the opposition. Kalonzo will this way be forced to be on the ballot. The y know his ego is big. They know that even coming 2nd is good enough for Kalonzo. He will be satisfied with that. A man that cannot inspire any political crowd.
Mizani africa are normally more credible pollsters
PRESIDENTIAL RACE: RUTO LEADS, KALONZO FOLLOWS, SIFUNA EMERGES THIRD
Mizani Africa’s September 2026 presidential preference poll places William Ruto at 38.7%, ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka at 27.5%. Edwin Sifuna ranks third at 13.2%, while Fred Matiang’i records 7.7%. The remaining candidates each register below 5%, and 5.0% of respondents are undecided
My comment - Kalonzo's numbers seem inflated?
