Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Githunguri on May 03, 2026, 03:49:01 AM
-
The recent political events are fast unfolding.I don't know what is going through Gachagua's mind but this is a ticket that would win with 65%.It would win even lots of votes even in the Rift valley.I think kalonzo is scared of late of the unfolding political events.We continue to monitor events. Defeating ruto is a moral and constitutional duty which has no room for gambling and any scenario moving foward is welcome.
Sifuna-Western-President
Methu-Mt Kenya-Deputy
Babu Owino- Nairobi/Nyanza-Governor Nairobi (I dont like him but we need him as politics shift)
Moha Jicho pevu-coast Mombasa governor
Ukambani-Mutula Junior
Matiangi-Kisii Prime cabinet secretary.
North Easter- I dont know
Gachagua/Orengo/Kalonzo-Supreme Ayatollahs of the fourth liberation from kalehegomony.
The likes of Kangata and Ndindi would join this very quick.I think even the police goons and army would stay completly away from politics.
Kenyans are crazy and wild people,they can do it.If they voted icc suspects in 2013 and a man on a wheelchair in 2002,It can happen.
-
:D I can't wait to see this circus.
-
:D I can't wait to see this circus.
What do you think?
-
:D I can't wait to see this circus.
What do you think?
Any such Clown Ticket would score at Miguna-level in the polls.
You already had PK #tunawesmake wave on twitter... scored 1-2% against Uhuru (drunkard) & Sonko (drug-dealer).
-
Yes some of these low IQ clowns thinks becoming president is so easy. Eti Sifuna -Metu. Wacha bhangi nani. Opposition best ticket is Kalonzo. Hakuna ingine. With Kalonzo they can score high of 40%; Ruto win 60%.
Anything else Ruto score 70%.
-
Kangata has bolted-expect massive defections moving foward.
Gachagua gains nothing from matiangi and Kalonzo presidency.He should claim the national hero status by endorsing Sifuna and Ndindi as president and running mate.Methu can become senate majority leader as sharpens his brain and political skills.That ticket cuts across the old political order and completely locks Ruto countrywide.
We continue to monitor events...Gachagua faliure to endorse kalonzo so far is very telling.
There is a very high probability of kenya having a 45 year old president and 39year old deputy president in 2027.
Just like orengo,gachagua should take the back seat and act as a source of wisdom and guidance.
Rutos presidency is OVER.
I predicted sonko governorship and 2024 revolution,I am predicting a 45 year old president in 2027.
Sifuna-Ndidi-Babu-Methu-Jicho Pevu-Gitonga Mukunji.
By 2027 March,Ruto 2027,Rutos campaigns will be restricted to official state functions and sunday services.
-
Kangata has bolted-expect massive defections moving foward.
Gachagua gains nothing from matiangi and Kalonzo presidency.He should claim the national hero status by endorsing Sifuna and Ndindi as president and running mate.Methu can become senate majority leader as sharpens his brain and political skills.That ticket cuts across the old political order and completely locks Ruto countrywide.
We continue to monitor events...Gachagua faliure to endorse kalonzo so far is very telling.
There is a very high probability of kenya having a 45 year old president and 39year old deputy president in 2027.
Just like orengo,gachagua should take the back seat and act as a source of wisdom and guidance.
Rutos presidency is OVER.
I predicted sonko governorship and 2024 revolution,I am predicting a 45 year old president in 2027.
Sifuna-Ndidi-Babu-Methu-Jicho Pevu-Gitonga Mukunji.
By 2027 March,Ruto 2027,Rutos campaigns will be restricted to official state functions and sunday services.
Next PORK so far is Ruto vs Kalonzo.
There is no "Sifuna" option - or that Mungiki thug Methu -- sneeze out that strange bug.
Which is better for RiggyG?
Occam's razor: he is all over with Kalonzo so that is his chosen path.
Uhuru is with them after Matiang'i DPORK deal. You can see the sudden attacks on Uhuru by UDA-KK honchos. They have threatened to withdraw Uhuru pension. 8)
So line-up shaping up is Kalonzo-Matiang'i vs Ruto-Kindiki.
-
Laughing matter. Defeating William Ruto and his network of voters across many tribes is the hardest thing in the world. As you speak there are about 1 million poor okuyus who depend on Ruto in various levels. Whether it is church uniforms, choir equipment, class room construction, tuition payment through his charity, business partners, Joywo self-help groups, boda boda, many widow groups throughout Kenya, Squatters all over Kenya, Sacco associations etc. This applies to all the tribes for the most part. Ruto has been building this network from 1990s, so it is very hard to separate him from his people. As of now he has about 10 million strong voters that would vote for him! I have looked at his network and there is no one in Kenya close to regular people than him. You see you build relationships in churches, schools, businesses, and groups I villages and towns. Human beings only care about those that help in need and there is no person that helps millions of regular Kenyans than WSR through many of his multi-prong channels.
Almost Every day for the last 20 years you see such statement popping everywhere. WSR has touched the lives of millions of Kenyans. Ukita votes in Kenya, toa pesa, that is what ordinary voters in Kenya understand. Sifuna, Matingi, Kalonzo, Gachieta, and the rest of poor politicians will not make people wake up to vote. Ruto delivers goodies all the time. You just have to meet and engage him and your issue will be sorted. He is the only politician with unlimited cash flow!
During the engagement, we also delivered KSh 5 million support from H.E. Dr William Ruto, aimed at supporting 25 squatter families and helping them stabilize and rebuild as broader settlement and resolution processes continue./quote]
-
The GenZ uprising and the brazen cheating in Malava and Mbeere tells you handouts are powerless against mass rage from inflation or heavy taxes.
"Development" including bypass, CDF, FPE, 7% growth and such things could not save Kibaki once the Raila-Ruto tribal alliance took on 41 vs 1 tribal propaganda.
Kalonzo has GEMA, Kamba, Gusii.
Ruto has Kalenjin, Mijikenda, pastoralists.
War is in Luo and Luhya. That's the homework not disco-matanga.
-
You underrate all the many small tribes.
Kalonzo has GEMA, Kamba, Gusii.
Ruto has Kalenjin, Mijikenda, pastoralists.
War is in Luo and Luhya. That's the homework not disco-matanga.
-
Mijikenda = 9 coastal tribes
Pastoralists = MATUSA + Somali, Pokomo bla bla. Basically NFD.
Nowayhaha of course will tell you not all Maa will vote Ruto. But I view Ruto as statistically dominant in these small tribes.
If Ruto takes big Luo chunk and small Luhya chunk - and vice versa for Kalonzo. It will still be turnout, etc war to the finish line. Noone has a big obvious advantage at this early stage because stallions & castles can move.
Obviously I am assuming the big fish remain opposition: RiggyG, Kalonzo, Matiang'i, Eugene, Natembeya, now Sifuna. Pawns Malalas, Khalwales, Karuas, Jicho Pevu can sneak about with no effect.
If Ruto buys say Sifuna or Natembeya or Matiang'i he can kick opposition. But sioni. He got only money nothing else. The trust deficit and ideological divide is stiff.
You underrate all the many small tribes.
Kalonzo has GEMA, Kamba, Gusii.
Ruto has Kalenjin, Mijikenda, pastoralists.
War is in Luo and Luhya. That's the homework not disco-matanga.
-
Add Iteso, Kurias, Taita, Taveta, Indians-Arabs, Makondes, Shonas :)
Add Mbeeres, Tharakas, Igembes.
Or simply put them at 40% - old Moi const- of 90s KANU.
Then add Luos and a bit more of Luhyas.
And you will be somewhere around 60%.
Hesabu rahisi sana.
Kindiki can bring 20% of MURIMA big tribes (Kikuyu, Meru, Embu).
And Ruto lead will be unassailable.
Will opposition remain united. Not when Maths dont maths. Not when they are broke. Their biggest lifeline is Kenyattas and Kikuyu angry mass.
Ruto doesnt need to buy opposition but can destroy it by taking either Matiangi, Gachagua,or Sifuna.
Mijikenda = 9 coastal tribes
Pastoralists = MATUSA + Somali, Pokomo bla bla. Basically NFD.
Nowayhaha of course will tell you not all Maa will vote Ruto. But I view Ruto as statistically dominant in these small tribes.
If Ruto takes big Luo chunk and small Luhya chunk - and vice versa for Kalonzo. It will still be turnout, etc war to the finish line. Noone has a big obvious advantage at this early stage because stallions & castles can move.
Obviously I am assuming the big fish remain opposition: RiggyG, Kalonzo, Matiang'i, Eugene, Natembeya, now Sifuna. Pawns Malalas, Khalwales, Karuas, Jicho Pevu can sneak about with no effect.
If Ruto buys say Sifuna or Natembeya or Matiang'i he can kick opposition. But sioni. He got only money nothing else. The trust deficit and ideological divide is stiff.
You underrate all the many small tribes.
Kalonzo has GEMA, Kamba, Gusii.
Ruto has Kalenjin, Mijikenda, pastoralists.
War is in Luo and Luhya. That's the homework not disco-matanga.
-
Ruto is in big Mlima trouble because of using Itumbi brain sijui gatheitha.🙂
He has the binary option: keep at it or cut his losses.
His lackeys are viciously attacking Uhuru and kikuyus. Which indicates he might go for 41 v 1. Since court just upheld Riggy impeachment let's see if things will change. Can Kindiki milk it? RiggyG is appealing and will claim Ruto has intimidate judges. Expect fitina war in Ol Kalou.
Next signal to watch is Mbadi. Jaluo bado hawajaingia box yenu wote. Kindiki, Weta, Joho and everyone is claiming Ruto will back them in 2032 👀 -- so Mbadi 2032 might be hard sell.
Just as you say 20% Mlima will vote Ruto. 20% of those small bajunis will vote Kalonzo.
But the real wildcards are
1. Opposition unity. If they break into say Kakonzo-Riggy camp vs Sifuna-Matiang'i -- Ruto will skin them alive.
If they unite he will sweat big.
RiggyG court loss supports unity.
2. Iran war aka inflation - which has a life of its own. If fuel and unga price go through the roof Ruto will face the music.
Add Iteso, Kurias, Taita, Taveta, Indians-Arabs, Makondes, Shonas :)
Add Mbeeres, Tharakas, Igembes.
Or simply put them at 40% - old Moi const- of 90s KANU.
Then add Luos and a bit more of Luhyas.
And you will be somewhere around 60%.
Hesabu rahisi sana.
Kindiki can bring 20% of MURIMA big tribes (Kikuyu, Meru, Embu).
And Ruto lead will be unassailable.
Will opposition remain united. Not when Maths dont maths. Not when they are broke. Their biggest lifeline is Kenyattas and Kikuyu angry mass.
Ruto doesnt need to buy opposition but can destroy it by taking either Matiangi, Gachagua,or Sifuna.
Mijikenda = 9 coastal tribes
Pastoralists = MATUSA + Somali, Pokomo bla bla. Basically NFD.
Nowayhaha of course will tell you not all Maa will vote Ruto. But I view Ruto as statistically dominant in these small tribes.
If Ruto takes big Luo chunk and small Luhya chunk - and vice versa for Kalonzo. It will still be turnout, etc war to the finish line. Noone has a big obvious advantage at this early stage because stallions & castles can move.
Obviously I am assuming the big fish remain opposition: RiggyG, Kalonzo, Matiang'i, Eugene, Natembeya, now Sifuna. Pawns Malalas, Khalwales, Karuas, Jicho Pevu can sneak about with no effect.
If Ruto buys say Sifuna or Natembeya or Matiang'i he can kick opposition. But sioni. He got only money nothing else. The trust deficit and ideological divide is stiff.
-
Incase sifuna is the opposition candidate,The entire Luo-Luhya block would endorse him.
Who deputizes him?
Kangata?Ndindi?Methu?
Of course Matiangi would support him.
What happens to Kalonzo?
We continue to follow the unfolding events.
The Linda Mwananchi is gaining traction.
Are we staring at a 46 year old president?
-
Am putting my money on this.
Sifuna should endorse DCP candidate on Sunday in Ol Kalau.
Ndindi and Kangata should also do so and camp there until DCP wins.
Interesting events.
-
Am putting my money on this.
Sifuna should endorse DCP candidate on Sunday in Ol Kalau.
Ndindi and Kangata should also do so and camp there until DCP wins.
Interesting events.
This is already the plan - Linda Mwananchi (including Kang'ata) will endorse DCP Ngotho on Sunday.
Ruto has broken the bank but UDA will be beaten.
-
Sifuna-Methu defeats Ruto.
Easisetst pathway to victory.
-
Sifuna-Methu defeats Ruto.
Easisetst pathway to victory.
Which party? If DCP, it will win only in about 5 counties. UDA-ODM and other small parties will sweep almost 35 counties
-
Rigathi has hinted on a Luhya Gema Coalition. In politics,only interests matter.
-
BEFORE REGISTRATION/update list.
22,102,532 VOTERS
https://www.iebc.or.ke/docs/rov_per_county.pdf
https://www.iebc.or.ke/docs/rov_per_constituency.pdf
ISIOLO 89,504
MERU 772,139
THARAKA - NITHI 231,932
EMBU 334,302
NYANDARUA 361,165
NYERI 481,632
KIRINYAGA 376,001
MURANG'A 620,929
LAIKIPIA 263,012
NAKURU 1,054,856
KAJIADO 463,273
KIAMBU 1,275,008
NAIROBI CITY 2,415,310 (GEMA + KAVIRONDO)
KAKAMEGA 844,551
VIHIGA 310,043
BUNGOMA 646,598
BUSIA 416,756
MIGORI 469,019
If we combine the GEMA Luhya strongholds, They are OVER 40% registered voters. If they get even 30 % in the remaining regions, they win with over 60%
This is the WINNING TEAM.45 year old president and 34 year old deputy.
RiggyG and Orengo should take this moment to say,"Kenya is greater than all of us".Its such moments that make great men.
-
I told you Occam's Razor: RiggyG has been leaning Kalonzo for 2 years. Even when courting Babu he told him to join DCP -- or if not Wiper is okay.
-
RiggyG has confirmed he will not endorse any presidential candidate. Its the people not him to decide. The people want sifuna methu and there is nothing RiggyG can do.RiggyG has said he only has 1 vote.
-
RiggyG has confirmed he will not endorse any presidential candidate. Its the people not him to decide. The people want sifuna methu and there is nothing RiggyG can do.RiggyG has said he only has 1 vote.
Why does he want Ruto to give him billions for endorsement?
-
He has confirmed he is negotiating with Ruto to become a spoiler.
Simple.
He want to RUN on Kamikaze ticket.
He wont endorse Sifuna or Matiangi or Kalonzo.
He want to be paid 3k for every Kikuyu votes.
4M times 3k = 12B.
Before impeachment he wanted 1K for every kikuyu vote.
People need to learn to read politics
RiggyG has confirmed he will not endorse any presidential candidate. Its the people not him to decide. The people want sifuna methu and there is nothing RiggyG can do.RiggyG has said he only has 1 vote.
-
Even if Gachagua woke up today afternoon and endorsed Ruto, sorry to say Ruto's days in Mt Kenya region are more than over. Gachagua will end up voting for Ruto alone and maybe he will be able to persuade Dorcas to go the same way.
Let Gachagua cash in 12B. he will not even be able to persuade 10% of Mt Kenya voters to follow him on the road to Sugoi.
He has confirmed he is negotiating with Ruto to become a spoiler.
Simple.
He want to RUN on Kamikaze ticket.
He wont endorse Sifuna or Matiangi or Kalonzo.
He want to be paid 3k for every Kikuyu votes.
4M times 3k = 12B.
Before impeachment he wanted 1K for every kikuyu vote.
People need to learn to read politics
-
Very brilliant of you.
You think Ruto with his PHD cant see that.
Gachagua will be payed to be a spoiler.
He will simply say with DCP cannot be main shareholder and run with smaller tribes.
He run if allowed or get some Kikuyu to run.
Ruto will give him conditions for payment of 12B with milestones.
Gathietha knows nobody likes him - even if he runs - so hapo he takes money from Uhuru or Ruto
Even if Gachagua woke up today afternoon and endorsed Ruto, sorry to say Ruto's days in Mt Kenya region are more than over. Gachagua will end up voting for Ruto alone and maybe he will be able to persuade Dorcas to go the same way.
Let Gachagua cash in 12B. he will not even be able to persuade 10% of Mt Kenya voters to follow him on the road to Sugoi.
He has confirmed he is negotiating with Ruto to become a spoiler.
Simple.
He want to RUN on Kamikaze ticket.
He wont endorse Sifuna or Matiangi or Kalonzo.
He want to be paid 3k for every Kikuyu votes.
4M times 3k = 12B.
Before impeachment he wanted 1K for every kikuyu vote.
People need to learn to read politics
-
The recent political events are fast unfolding.I don't know what is going through Gachagua's mind but this is a ticket that would win with 65%.It would win even lots of votes even in the Rift valley.I think kalonzo is scared of late of the unfolding political events.We continue to monitor events. Defeating ruto is a moral and constitutional duty which has no room for gambling and any scenario moving foward is welcome.
Sifuna-Western-President
Methu-Mt Kenya-Deputy
Babu Owino- Nairobi/Nyanza-Governor Nairobi (I dont like him but we need him as politics shift)
Moha Jicho pevu-coast Mombasa governor
Ukambani-Mutula Junior
Matiangi-Kisii Prime cabinet secretary.
North Easter- I dont know
Gachagua/Orengo/Kalonzo-Supreme Ayatollahs of the fourth liberation from kalehegomony.
The likes of Kangata and Ndindi would join this very quick.I think even the police goons and army would stay completly away from politics.
Kenyans are crazy and wild people,they can do it.If they voted icc suspects in 2013 and a man on a wheelchair in 2002,It can happen.
Mt. Kenya 7.5 million Votes (Methu or Kangata as deputy to rally Mt Kenya)
Luhya 4.0 million Votes (Sifuna as president to solidify the vote)
Kisii 1.5 million Votes (Matiangi as Prime cabinet secretary)
Total vote is over 50% of registered voters of 24MN registered voters.
That means, If Sifuna Methu ticket gets even an extra total of 10% votes from other tribes,They are over 60% Vote win.
We don't need Kalonzo.Let him go join Ruto.
Natembeya is Gachagua ally,He is the man behind Sifuna. There are negotiations happening amongst Orengo Natembeya and Gachagua.
-
The recent political events are fast unfolding.I don't know what is going through Gachagua's mind but this is a ticket that would win with 65%.It would win even lots of votes even in the Rift valley.I think kalonzo is scared of late of the unfolding political events.We continue to monitor events. Defeating ruto is a moral and constitutional duty which has no room for gambling and any scenario moving foward is welcome.
Sifuna-Western-President
Methu-Mt Kenya-Deputy
Babu Owino- Nairobi/Nyanza-Governor Nairobi (I dont like him but we need him as politics shift)
Moha Jicho pevu-coast Mombasa governor
Ukambani-Mutula Junior
Matiangi-Kisii Prime cabinet secretary.
North Easter- I dont know
Gachagua/Orengo/Kalonzo-Supreme Ayatollahs of the fourth liberation from kalehegomony.
The likes of Kangata and Ndindi would join this very quick.I think even the police goons and army would stay completly away from politics.
Kenyans are crazy and wild people,they can do it.If they voted icc suspects in 2013 and a man on a wheelchair in 2002,It can happen.
Mt. Kenya 7.5 million Votes (Methu or Kangata as deputy to rally Mt Kenya)
Luhya 4.0 million Votes (Sifuna as president to solidify the vote)
Kisii 1.5 million Votes (Matiangi as Prime cabinet secretary)
Total vote is over 50% of registered voters of 24MN registered voters.
That means, If Sifuna Methu ticket gets even an extra total of 10% votes from other tribes,They are over 60% Vote win.
We don't need Kalonzo.Let him go join Ruto.
Natembeya is Gachagua ally,He is the man behind Sifuna. There are negotiations happening amongst Orengo Natembeya and Gachagua.
I'm the insider and know what is happening and will happen. Mountain need 9m and Luhya 5M to come close to defeating Ruto. Siasa ya Kenya wachana nayo. Utalilia Choo Bure!
-
Give Sifuna the ticket. I am 100%.
Kangata is more mature than Methu.Let him deputize him.
We need KikuyuLuhya pact 20 years.
The way the crowds have been coming out to cheer sifuna,He will massacre Ruto at the ballot.
-
Because you are a Luo tell us Luo Nyanza is with Sifuna or Ruto ?
Give Sifuna the ticket. I am 100%.
Kangata is more mature than Methu.Let him deputize him.
We need KikuyuLuhya pact 20 years.
The way the crowds have been coming out to cheer sifuna,He will massacre Ruto at the ballot.
-
Give Sifuna the ticket. I am 100%.
Kangata is more mature than Methu.Let him deputize him.
We need KikuyuLuhya pact 20 years.
The way the crowds have been coming out to cheer sifuna,He will massacre Ruto at the ballot.
You need trillions, IEBC, Supreme Court, and beyond Raila numbers to come close to defeating Ruto. Actually it is impossible to defeat Ruto in 2027. The moment Sifuna is at the top, Large swath of GEMA numbers will move instantly. Certainly 2032 will look good than 2042. Kambas, kisiis also will be looking someone to punish!