In 1992 Moi won big, and Moi was 1000 steps behind Ruto in strategy and campign-crowd funding. You keep Kalonzo-Sifuna, GEMA will be 50/50 overnight because they are looking to take back power in 2032 through Kindiki. Kalonzo/Sifuna will keep them in the cold for another 20 years, so they will not accept that route. That is why wanjigi said if Kalonzo is on top of ticket, Ruto wins as soon as polls open. Sifuna-Martha will be stronger, however Kamba's will switch simcard to UDA in large numbers. Ol Kalau, like Mbeere will not be a do or die, UDA, even, with a loss will do better than expected. Anyway, like 2012, 2017, and 2022, we will be here to witness the streak!
Moi had Suluhu type monopoly of power- money (Goldenberg), judiciary, ECK, Public Order Act and the shebang. Ruto is throwing the kitchen sink at RiggyG because he is Matiba + Kibaki rolled into one.
I told you whatever you suggest as optimal for the opponent is classic naked ruse. Martha was Uhuru's stupidity RiggyG cannot make.
You are right about Kalonzo and Kamba: he could switch today and deliver the full 8% to Ruto or Maraga. But RiggyG knows this and has an unbeatable deal: PORK while Ruto can only offer DPORK and get instant trouble in MKE.
RiggyG has 2 objectives: first humiliate Ruto and second become president himself in 2032. This makes Kalonzo-Sifuna a very attractive option. It keeps both Kamba and Luhya from Ruto, while still denying Ruto 41 v 1 strategy.
G7... everyone including Kalonzo, Riggy, Sifuna and useless JB or Martha will run for PORK until eleventh hour formula in March. Riggy will get PM with Matiang'i as the alternate in case SCoRK bars him.
Ruto has no counter. He has to crack Mlima first, which is looking worse than Malava and Mbeere with unprecedented spending for projects and bribes. Methu is just telling people to eat Ruto cash which is looted from SHA -- But don't vote for the shameless thief.
Obviously it's impossible to scale such brazen swindle nationwide. As you can see the Malava ukora was pointless because every grade 3 dropout knows it's the dumb students who cheat. This cheating genius is a strange breed. Luhya are with Sifuna not Ruto or useless Madvd.
Ol Kalou further exposes the naked king. Once you fired Riggy Mlima ilienda ikiendanga. Deploying billions and half the cabinet will not save you. Ruto has no counter for the opposition lineup.
