Author Topic: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)  (Read 164567 times)

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #80 on: June 15, 2026, 12:34:09 AM »
Ruto is not Raila and wont win Luo Coast NEP and Matusa…..
These percentages convert them to numbers and you will see the reality…..
GEMA in Coast Rift Valley and Nairobi who voted for Ruto you will realise that the 49% who voted  for him goes to around 60%
We have the Data …….


Ruto lost 20% of his 50%;
Winning Luos cut deficit to 10%;
Winning Coastal, NEP & Matusa 10%;
We dont even need one extra luhya than 2022;
RiggyG, the poisoned chalice is easiest to fight, for same reason he was impeached. Any ticket he support will be seen as Kikuyu share thing.
Ruto has taken Moi constituencies which Raila had stolen. His base outside Kalenjin is the vast ASAL region - 75% land with 15% of the votes.

Why is Ruto in trouble, remain simple: RiggyG. Hell hath no fury.

RiggyG is in Kakamega now - he is able to charm everyone with ''hi cousins'' -- while spew venom about Ruto.

2027 is likely Ruto vs Kalonzo on paper, but Ruto vs RiggyG in reality.

Ruto cant lose even if he tried.
For obvious reason he got 20% of his 50% from GEMA.
However he did very badly in areas he expected to do well.
Luhya he lost everywhere except Bungoma..overally he did 35%.
He did 35% of Gusii
He did 2% of Luos;
He did 80% of GEMA
He did 25% of Coast.
He did 40% of NEP
He did 50% of MATUSA including 65% of Pokots.

Reason he was facing a very strong national leader in Raila backed by the state.

Sasa kalonzo ni joke.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #81 on: June 15, 2026, 03:50:02 AM »
You have data but cant share the data.
GEMA pop of 2022 was about 11M -8m kikuyus, 2m merus, Embu and others 1m.
GEMA adults are about 55-60% roughly 6.5m
GEMA adults with IDs and registerd as voted drop to about 5.8m.
GEMA who turned to vote were about 70%.
GEMA yote was around 4m cast vote.
Roughly 3m for Ruto. 1m for Raila.
That was about 40% of Ruto total votes or 20% of national vote.
If all is gone - if Kindiki is replaced - then Ruto has 20% deficit to fill.
Small thing when you have ODM with you and without Raila.
You are frustrated because ODM-KK alliance will simply steamroll you.
NEP, COAST, MATUSA, LUO and LUHYA are majority with RUTO
Ruto is not Raila and wont win Luo Coast NEP and Matusa…..
These percentages convert them to numbers and you will see the reality…..
GEMA in Coast Rift Valley and Nairobi who voted for Ruto you will realise that the 49% who voted  for him goes to around 60%
We have the Data …….

Offline Fish Mooney

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #82 on: June 15, 2026, 08:57:40 AM »
I would like to see this Nowayhaha math. Seems Ruto has only Kalenjin.  🤔🥲
"I'm Yours
You're mine
Like Paradise  ~ song by Sade https://tinyurl.com/yc5hvdc8

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #83 on: June 15, 2026, 12:39:57 PM »

Robina , Ruto won with 49% GEMA inland and 11% GEMA diaspora ( Nairobi/Coast/Rift Valley) , He got 40 % from the rest of the country including Kalenjin.
Thats why RV pundit has becoming like you hoping like you did Ruto to inherit Raila vote like you hoped Raila will inherit Uhuru vote in 2022 which didnt happen and wont happen for Ruto in 2027.
Simply Post 2003 Raila voters knows Ruto as a Villain .

I would like to see this Nowayhaha math. Seems Ruto has only Kalenjin.  🤔🥲

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #84 on: June 15, 2026, 12:43:26 PM »

Continue dreaming , post 2002 Raila voters can not elect Ruto and reason Raila lost huge support after broadbased Govt and reason Sifuna has risen simply if Sifuna is bought by Ruto today they will identify with another leader . Now you can continue self deceiting but it wont change anything . I supported Ruto and Im aware he made mistakes just like Moi did in 2002 such mistakes one can never recover….

You have data but cant share the data.
GEMA pop of 2022 was about 11M -8m kikuyus, 2m merus, Embu and others 1m.
GEMA adults are about 55-60% roughly 6.5m
GEMA adults with IDs and registerd as voted drop to about 5.8m.
GEMA who turned to vote were about 70%.
GEMA yote was around 4m cast vote.
Roughly 3m for Ruto. 1m for Raila.
That was about 40% of Ruto total votes or 20% of national vote.
If all is gone - if Kindiki is replaced - then Ruto has 20% deficit to fill.
Small thing when you have ODM with you and without Raila.
You are frustrated because ODM-KK alliance will simply steamroll you.
NEP, COAST, MATUSA, LUO and LUHYA are majority with RUTO
Ruto is not Raila and wont win Luo Coast NEP and Matusa…..
These percentages convert them to numbers and you will see the reality…..
GEMA in Coast Rift Valley and Nairobi who voted for Ruto you will realise that the 49% who voted  for him goes to around 60%
We have the Data …….

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #85 on: June 15, 2026, 01:06:22 PM »
SO GEMA 60% of Ruto's 50=30% of national vote
They still contributed almost 1million to Raila.
Making them 40% of kenya votes.

Dude - Mathare iko open - see a shrink mapema


Robina , Ruto won with 49% GEMA inland and 11% GEMA diaspora ( Nairobi/Coast/Rift Valley) , He got 40 % from the rest of the country including Kalenjin.
Thats why RV pundit has becoming like you hoping like you did Ruto to inherit Raila vote like you hoped Raila will inherit Uhuru vote in 2022 which didnt happen and wont happen for Ruto in 2027.
Simply Post 2003 Raila voters knows Ruto as a Villain .

I would like to see this Nowayhaha math. Seems Ruto has only Kalenjin.  🤔🥲

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #86 on: June 15, 2026, 01:08:08 PM »
Sifuna has risen where. How many MPS/MCAs/Senators/Governor of ODM support him. They are 5. Orengo, Babu, Sifuna, Amisi and Otosi. Tosha. Rest of ODM 95% support Ruto. I dont think Ruto in his wildest imagination would have imagine a more seamless smooth transfer of ODM base to KK. This pretty good deal

Sifuna like Maraga is Internet Bubble that will fizzle out. Kama hauna base from MCA hauna kazi

Continue dreaming , post 2002 Raila voters can not elect Ruto and reason Raila lost huge support after broadbased Govt and reason Sifuna has risen simply if Sifuna is bought by Ruto today they will identify with another leader . Now you can continue self deceiting but it wont change anything . I supported Ruto and Im aware he made mistakes just like Moi did in 2002 such mistakes one can never recover….

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #87 on: June 15, 2026, 01:57:20 PM »
Raila got 549,126 in GEMA counties bulk of it in Kiambu and half of the total were NON GEMAns

Here is the breakdown

Kiambu   210,393
Murang’a   73,539
Nyeri           52,043
Kirinyaga   37,978
Nyandarua   49,190
Embu   31,113
Meru            79,842
Tharaka Nithi   15,028
Total            549,126


So wacha uwongo wako .


Below is the break down of GEMA votes Ruto got albeit conservative .But gives you a fill remember other counties like Eldoret Machakos , Transzoia etc has GEMA voters .
GEMA is a major player in elections , even if you try to deny it .

Kiambu   606,085
Murang’a   343,481
Nyeri   272,507
Kirinyaga   220,752
Nyandarua   189,277
Embu   187,867
Meru   369,360
Tharaka Nithi   144,802
70% of Nairobi   393,051
70% of Nakuru   318,980
80% of Laikipia   95,190
60% of Narok   88,986
60% of Kajiado   89,069
60% of Mombasa   68,220
Total   3,387,627

SO GEMA 60% of Ruto's 50=30% of national vote
They still contributed almost 1million to Raila.
Making them 40% of kenya votes.

Dude - Mathare iko open - see a shrink mapema


Robina , Ruto won with 49% GEMA inland and 11% GEMA diaspora ( Nairobi/Coast/Rift Valley) , He got 40 % from the rest of the country including Kalenjin.
Thats why RV pundit has becoming like you hoping like you did Ruto to inherit Raila vote like you hoped Raila will inherit Uhuru vote in 2022 which didnt happen and wont happen for Ruto in 2027.
Simply Post 2003 Raila voters knows Ruto as a Villain .

I would like to see this Nowayhaha math. Seems Ruto has only Kalenjin.  🤔🥲

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #88 on: June 15, 2026, 01:59:53 PM »

You have become like Robina Pre2022 oooh MPs support means you have traction . Come elections opposite hapoened
I will dig that thread

Robina please advice Pundit on the mistakes you did on 2022 elections predictions….

Sifuna has risen where. How many MPS/MCAs/Senators/Governor of ODM support him. They are 5. Orengo, Babu, Sifuna, Amisi and Otosi.


Tosha. Rest of ODM 95% support Ruto. I dont think Ruto in his wildest imagination would have imagine a more seamless smooth transfer of ODM base to KK. This pretty good deal

Sifuna like Maraga is Internet Bubble that will fizzle out. Kama hauna base from MCA hauna kazi

Continue dreaming , post 2002 Raila voters can not elect Ruto and reason Raila lost huge support after broadbased Govt and reason Sifuna has risen simply if Sifuna is bought by Ruto today they will identify with another leader . Now you can continue self deceiting but it wont change anything . I supported Ruto and Im aware he made mistakes just like Moi did in 2002 such mistakes one can never recover….

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #89 on: June 15, 2026, 02:59:01 PM »
You have written lot of cowdung..it funny even
Please use this template - I did lot of research to come up with it.

Raila got 549,126 in GEMA counties bulk of it in Kiambu and half of the total were NON GEMAns

Here is the breakdown

Kiambu   210,393
Murang’a   73,539
Nyeri           52,043
Kirinyaga   37,978
Nyandarua   49,190
Embu   31,113
Meru            79,842
Tharaka Nithi   15,028
Total            549,126


So wacha uwongo wako .


Below is the break down of GEMA votes Ruto got albeit conservative .But gives you a fill remember other counties like Eldoret Machakos , Transzoia etc has GEMA voters .
GEMA is a major player in elections , even if you try to deny it .

Kiambu   606,085
Murang’a   343,481
Nyeri   272,507
Kirinyaga   220,752
Nyandarua   189,277
Embu   187,867
Meru   369,360
Tharaka Nithi   144,802
70% of Nairobi   393,051
70% of Nakuru   318,980
80% of Laikipia   95,190
60% of Narok   88,986
60% of Kajiado   89,069
60% of Mombasa   68,220
Total   3,387,627

SO GEMA 60% of Ruto's 50=30% of national vote
They still contributed almost 1million to Raila.
Making them 40% of kenya votes.

Dude - Mathare iko open - see a shrink mapema


Robina , Ruto won with 49% GEMA inland and 11% GEMA diaspora ( Nairobi/Coast/Rift Valley) , He got 40 % from the rest of the country including Kalenjin.
Thats why RV pundit has becoming like you hoping like you did Ruto to inherit Raila vote like you hoped Raila will inherit Uhuru vote in 2022 which didnt happen and wont happen for Ruto in 2027.
Simply Post 2003 Raila voters knows Ruto as a Villain .

I would like to see this Nowayhaha math. Seems Ruto has only Kalenjin.  🤔🥲

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #90 on: June 15, 2026, 02:59:59 PM »
Mps/MCAs are one indicators;
They listen to the ground.
But we watch many other indicators

You have become like Robina Pre2022 oooh MPs support means you have traction . Come elections opposite hapoened
I will dig that thread

Robina please advice Pundit on the mistakes you did on 2022 elections predictions….

Offline Fish Mooney

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #91 on: June 15, 2026, 03:18:05 PM »
Pundit claims Ruto beat opposition in Malava and Mbeere fair & square. TZ type election. That's how I know he can't be objective.

The tribal arithmetic is very slippery for Ruto. He can deploy KDF to rig - otherwise he will join the list of ''African Democrats'' of Goodluck Jonathan and Thabo Mbeki. 🙂


You have become like Robina Pre2022 oooh MPs support means you have traction . Come elections opposite hapoened
I will dig that thread

Robina please advice Pundit on the mistakes you did on 2022 elections predictions….

Sifuna has risen where. How many MPS/MCAs/Senators/Governor of ODM support him. They are 5. Orengo, Babu, Sifuna, Amisi and Otosi.


Tosha. Rest of ODM 95% support Ruto. I dont think Ruto in his wildest imagination would have imagine a more seamless smooth transfer of ODM base to KK. This pretty good deal

Sifuna like Maraga is Internet Bubble that will fizzle out. Kama hauna base from MCA hauna kazi

Continue dreaming , post 2002 Raila voters can not elect Ruto and reason Raila lost huge support after broadbased Govt and reason Sifuna has risen simply if Sifuna is bought by Ruto today they will identify with another leader . Now you can continue self deceiting but it wont change anything . I supported Ruto and Im aware he made mistakes just like Moi did in 2002 such mistakes one can never recover….
"I'm Yours
You're mine
Like Paradise  ~ song by Sade https://tinyurl.com/yc5hvdc8

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #92 on: June 15, 2026, 03:21:47 PM »
Malva and Mbeere - let say Luhya and Mt kenya east - is 50:50 - but you must admit UDA has won fair and square in KAMATUSA+ISIOLO+NEP+COAST sio?
If you do the maths; ODM Luo+ Ruto 40% small tribe coalition; tuko 50%.
Waluhya & Mt Kenya east - 7% +3% - we can go 50:50
And we will be 60%;
Coalition of Kikuyus, Kambas and Gusii - at best iko 30%- add half Luhyas 7%; ingine 3% =40%.
Pundit claims Ruto beat opposition in Malava and Mbeere fair & square. TZ type election. That's how I know he can't be objective.

The tribal arithmetic is very slippery for Ruto. He can deploy KDF to rig - otherwise he will join the list of ''African Democrats'' of Goodluck Jonathan and Thabo Mbeki. 🙂

Offline Kadudu

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #93 on: June 15, 2026, 03:58:08 PM »
Why are you always mentioning Sifuna here if he is a political dwarf? Just ignore him the way you ignore Maraga.

As of the 95% ODM MPs supporting just wait for April 2027. Then you can count the MPs supporting Ruto. In the meantime they are busy eating in State House.

Sifuna has risen where. How many MPS/MCAs/Senators/Governor of ODM support him. They are 5. Orengo, Babu, Sifuna, Amisi and Otosi. Tosha. Rest of ODM 95% support Ruto. I dont think Ruto in his wildest imagination would have imagine a more seamless smooth transfer of ODM base to KK. This pretty good deal

Sifuna like Maraga is Internet Bubble that will fizzle out. Kama hauna base from MCA hauna kazi

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #94 on: June 15, 2026, 04:22:32 PM »
April sio mbali.
Let us wait
Why are you always mentioning Sifuna here if he is a political dwarf? Just ignore him the way you ignore Maraga.

As of the 95% ODM MPs supporting just wait for April 2027. Then you can count the MPs supporting Ruto. In the meantime they are busy eating in State House.

Sifuna has risen where. How many MPS/MCAs/Senators/Governor of ODM support him. They are 5. Orengo, Babu, Sifuna, Amisi and Otosi. Tosha. Rest of ODM 95% support Ruto. I dont think Ruto in his wildest imagination would have imagine a more seamless smooth transfer of ODM base to KK. This pretty good deal

Sifuna like Maraga is Internet Bubble that will fizzle out. Kama hauna base from MCA hauna kazi

Offline Pragmatic

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #95 on: June 15, 2026, 04:34:36 PM »
Well put, Kadudu. It has been irksome the constant mention of Sifuna as a non-entity. Watajuta sana...

To be certain, there is no 90% of ODM that Ruto has taken! At best, he has barely 20% of Baba's ODM.... the majority of ODM is with Sifuna & Co.

For the avoidance of doubt, @RVPundit & RVhh, you had better look elsewhere for the significant replacement of the departed Kikuyu votes; there is no Luhya-land for KK. Bukusu is 100% with Sifuna, with the rest of Luhyaland at 80% worst case.


Why are you always mentioning Sifuna here if he is a political dwarf? Just ignore him the way you ignore Maraga.

As of the 95% ODM MPs supporting just wait for April 2027. Then you can count the MPs supporting Ruto. In the meantime they are busy eating in State House.

Sifuna has risen where. How many MPS/MCAs/Senators/Governor of ODM support him. They are 5. Orengo, Babu, Sifuna, Amisi and Otosi. Tosha. Rest of ODM 95% support Ruto. I dont think Ruto in his wildest imagination would have imagine a more seamless smooth transfer of ODM base to KK. This pretty good deal

Sifuna like Maraga is Internet Bubble that will fizzle out. Kama hauna base from MCA hauna kazi

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #96 on: June 15, 2026, 05:21:05 PM »
You have never gotten anything right
Well put, Kadudu. It has been irksome the constant mention of Sifuna as a non-entity. Watajuta sana...

To be certain, there is no 90% of ODM that Ruto has taken! At best, he has barely 20% of Baba's ODM.... the majority of ODM is with Sifuna & Co.

For the avoidance of doubt, @RVPundit & RVhh, you had better look elsewhere for the significant replacement of the departed Kikuyu votes; there is no Luhya-land for KK. Bukusu is 100% with Sifuna, with the rest of Luhyaland at 80% worst case.


Why are you always mentioning Sifuna here if he is a political dwarf? Just ignore him the way you ignore Maraga.

As of the 95% ODM MPs supporting just wait for April 2027. Then you can count the MPs supporting Ruto. In the meantime they are busy eating in State House.

Sifuna has risen where. How many MPS/MCAs/Senators/Governor of ODM support him. They are 5. Orengo, Babu, Sifuna, Amisi and Otosi. Tosha. Rest of ODM 95% support Ruto. I dont think Ruto in his wildest imagination would have imagine a more seamless smooth transfer of ODM base to KK. This pretty good deal

Sifuna like Maraga is Internet Bubble that will fizzle out. Kama hauna base from MCA hauna kazi

Offline RV Heavy Hitter!

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #97 on: June 15, 2026, 05:29:08 PM »
Same people who were 100% sure Ruto would lose big because of the combination of "system" and tribal arithmetic in 2022 are here to lecture us again about tribal numbers. Now they are parading the tribal math and putting  ''system" under the rug! What you need to put in your thick head is the fact that Ruto NEVER loses elections. Two of the main reasons are 1) his coalition, people that Ruto has touched through his donations and monetary support over the years. I'm talking mostly about church goers, women groups like JOYWO with a million members, Sacco's with members about a million, Youth groups around the country now hovering around 2 million. Kamatusa group numbering around 3 million. Since 2002 his low Key Samoei Ruto foundation has educated record number of young folks from high school to college. Wherever were is a need for Harambee, he always invest, and as such, those who are touched are always eager to return I'm a favor. The coffee farmers tat were earning 50 a kilo and now raking 160 a kilo, Sugar farmers, tea, etc. The over 1 million young people hired since Ruto came to power. You have NEVER seen his coalition, but you will see on Election Day. 2) It is the financial muscle, now topping  billions of dollars. The head of Kenyan Human right commission endorsed him today and will marshal their groups to support one WSR because of the work he is doing for the whole Kenya! The other secondary reasons are obviously the dreaded system, IEBC, Kenya's supreme court Court, Police and the whole government will stop at nothing to ensure he is reelected again.
The future belongs to those who have a quarter of the character and integrity of RV Heavy Hitter!

Offline Fish Mooney

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #98 on: June 15, 2026, 05:37:13 PM »
Malava and Mbeere 50-50 is ukora of kidnapping the opponents. Remove the ukora - you have Kisa and Kabuchai 70-30. That's the correct data to use not your wishful thinking. With Sifuna GenZ excitement it will be worse than that for Ruto.

Mbeere same nonsense.

So Luhya  upinzani 70-30 Ruto
Mt Kenya East  upinzani 70-30 Ruto
Luo we can say upinzani 30-70 Ruto
Mijikenda upinzani 30-70 Ruto

Rest we can be simplistic with broad brush give Ruto 100% Kalenjin + pastoralists. United opposition 100% Kikuyu, Kamba, Gusii.

Opposition
Kikuyu 17%
Kamba 8%
Gusii 5%
Luhya 10%
Luo 3%
MKE 5%
Mijikenda 2%
Total 50%

It's a dead heat. Noone is ahead.

Malva and Mbeere - let say Luhya and Mt kenya east - is 50:50 - but you must admit UDA has won fair and square in KAMATUSA+ISIOLO+NEP+COAST sio?
If you do the maths; ODM Luo+ Ruto 40% small tribe coalition; tuko 50%.
Waluhya & Mt Kenya east - 7% +3% - we can go 50:50
And we will be 60%;
Coalition of Kikuyus, Kambas and Gusii - at best iko 30%- add half Luhyas 7%; ingine 3% =40%.
Pundit claims Ruto beat opposition in Malava and Mbeere fair & square. TZ type election. That's how I know he can't be objective.

The tribal arithmetic is very slippery for Ruto. He can deploy KDF to rig - otherwise he will join the list of ''African Democrats'' of Goodluck Jonathan and Thabo Mbeki. 🙂
"I'm Yours
You're mine
Like Paradise  ~ song by Sade https://tinyurl.com/yc5hvdc8

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Decision 2027-Kalonzo Musyoka-6TH President of Kenya (2027-2032)
« Reply #99 on: June 15, 2026, 06:00:51 PM »
Yaani hesabu yako umejaribu and you didnt get +1 :)
This fail.
Redo 50% plus one.
Anyway let give few months Sifuna and we review if he has some 3 mcas.
Malava and Mbeere 50-50 is ukora of kidnapping the opponents. Remove the ukora - you have Kisa and Kabuchai 70-30. That's the correct data to use not your wishful thinking. With Sifuna GenZ excitement it will be worse than that for Ruto.

Mbeere same nonsense.

So Luhya  upinzani 70-30 Ruto
Mt Kenya East  upinzani 70-30 Ruto
Luo we can say upinzani 30-70 Ruto
Mijikenda upinzani 30-70 Ruto

Rest we can be simplistic with broad brush give Ruto 100% Kalenjin + pastoralists. United opposition 100% Kikuyu, Kamba, Gusii.

Opposition
Kikuyu 17%
Kamba 8%
Gusii 5%
Luhya 10%
Luo 3%
MKE 5%
Mijikenda 2%
Total 50%

It's a dead heat. Noone is ahead.

Malva and Mbeere - let say Luhya and Mt kenya east - is 50:50 - but you must admit UDA has won fair and square in KAMATUSA+ISIOLO+NEP+COAST sio?
If you do the maths; ODM Luo+ Ruto 40% small tribe coalition; tuko 50%.
Waluhya & Mt Kenya east - 7% +3% - we can go 50:50
And we will be 60%;
Coalition of Kikuyus, Kambas and Gusii - at best iko 30%- add half Luhyas 7%; ingine 3% =40%.
Pundit claims Ruto beat opposition in Malava and Mbeere fair & square. TZ type election. That's how I know he can't be objective.

The tribal arithmetic is very slippery for Ruto. He can deploy KDF to rig - otherwise he will join the list of ''African Democrats'' of Goodluck Jonathan and Thabo Mbeki. 🙂